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[Business] - Banking Stocks Trade Marginally Higher Ahead of RBI Policy Review | NDTV

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[Business] - Sensex Trades Marginally Higher Ahead Of RBI Policy Outcome | NDTV

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[Business] - Sensex Trades Marginally Higher Ahead Of RBI Policy Outcome

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[Business] - Banking Stocks Trade Marginally Higher Ahead of RBI Policy Review

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The World This Week – 24th July 2020 to 31st July 2020

Indian Equity Summary-
· SØ&P BSE Sensex and Nifty 50 fell by 1.4% and 1% respectively on a WoW basis, and the six-week positive trend in Indian equities came to a pause as negative feelings prevailed among market participants, on the back of rising Covid-19 cases as well as a decline in US GDP at an annualized rate of 32.9% in 2Q 2020. Healthcare and IT were the best-performing sectors, while oil & gas and banks were the worst-performing ones on a weekly basis.
· Going forward, global factors like development on the US -China relationship front , and domestic factors like the outcome of the RBI MPCØ meeting ( we expect a pause in Repo rate cut in the August RBI MPC meeting) and the monsoon trajectory ; will continue to dictate the trend of the domestic equity market. We expect the trading range for Nifty between 10700-11,100 in the near term.
Indian Debt Market-
· Government bond prices fell marginally as the yield of the 10-year benchmark 5.79% 2030 paper settled at 5.84% on July 31 as against 5.82% onØ July 24 .
· India’s fiscal deficit during the first quarter of this fiscal widened to Rs 6.62 lakh crore or 83.2% of the budget estimates, mainly on account of poorØ tax collections due to the lockdown; fiscal deficit during the corresponding period of last year was 61.4% of the budget estimates.
· RBI introduced new 5.77% GS 2030 last week.Ø
· We expect the 10 year benchmark yield to trade between 5.80-6.05% in near term.Ø
Domestic News
· Deposit growth in the banking system continued to grow at 10.1 percent on a year-on-year basis, even though banks have reduced their depositØ rates sharply in the absence of credit growth and liquidity induced by RBI due to Covid-19.
· India’s factory slump deepened in July as renewed lockdown measures to contain surging coronavirus cases weighed on demand and output,Ø raising the chances of a sharper economic contraction, a private business survey showed on Monday.
· Indian power plants used the most gas in at least 3-1/2 years in the June quarter, as operators along the west coast snapped up cheap liquefiedØ natural gas (LNG) imports that have become competitive against coal, government data showed.
International News
· US real gross domestic product plummeted at a record annual rate of 32.9% in the second quarter of 2020 following a 5% decline in the firstØ quarter
· U.S. manufacturing activity accelerated to its highest level in nearly 1-1/2 years in July as orders increased despite a resurgence in new COVID-Ø 19 infections
· Tens of millions of people in and around the Philippine capital will go back to a strict lockdown from Tuesday, threatening incomes and hopesØ for reviving a once dynamic economy as authorities take drastic measures to halt surging virus cases.
Link - http://www.karvywealth.com/data/sites/1/skins/karvywealth/Download_media_report.aspx?FileName=C008C18F-7DA4-4A92-A64F-50DE73ECD819|5248508
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submitted by wealthadvisor22 to u/wealthadvisor22 [link] [comments]

A Toast to the 2019 New York Mets

On July 31, the Mets and their fans were sitting at 52-55, wondering what the last two months would bring. They’d entered the All-Star break weeks ago with a miserable 40-50 record, largely thanks to their annual June swoon. They’d experienced some truly miserable blown saves from their big prize of the offseason, Edwin Diaz; his co-acquisition Robinson Cano was enduring the worst season of his career; the manager and Jason Vargas decided cursing out reporters was the hot new trend; Yoenis Cespedes got attacked by a wild boar (?!?!?!?!); and some other crap I’d rather not revisit in depth.
They’d had their moments in the first half, particularly these:
A stirring comeback against the Nationals’ bullpen
Noah Syndergaard’s True Win shutout + solo homer
A four-game sweep of the Nats highlighted by three straight comebacks against their bullpen (this is a trend, yes)
Jason Vargas inexplicably shutting out the Giants and Steven Matz throwing a Maddux against the Pirates
Pete Alonso had been even more than the fans could have hoped for, Jeff McNeil was establishing himself as a true star, and Jacob deGrom was continuing his excellence. (more on these three later, they deserve and will get individual love)
But even with their 12-3 run out of the break, and new GM Brodie Van Wagenen trading for Marcus Stroman to seemingly retool for 2020, there wasn’t any realistic possibility of the Mets playing relevant baseball in September. Fans were largely resigned to another whatever year, this time with a Rookie of the Year to at least soften the blow. And then Pete Alonso tweeted, and the Mets were off to the races. (Yes, they were already on a hot streak, but I’m convinced this tweet had magic powers)
Less than a week later, the Mets had climbed over .500 for the first time in three months, with J.D. Davis, Michael Conforto, and Alonso all homering in the seventh inning to give the Mets a lead that Seth Lugo wouldn’t relinquish. (also, Gary Cohen’s beautiful Springsteen reference)
The Nationals came to town days later, and the Mets’ run reached its apex with a four-run ninth inning rally against Sean Doolittle. Todd Frazier tied it with a three-run homer, Conforto walked it off, and the team chased Conforto down in the outfield and ripped his jersey off entirely. The next night, light-hitting Luis Guillorme’s first career homer sparked another game-winning rally, this time against Fernando Rodney and Daniel Hudson. They were in this thing.
About ten days later, they pulled off my personal favorite moment of the season: a tenth-inning rally to walk off the Indians, with J.D. Davis driving in the winning run, then cutting an honest-to-goodness promo in the postgame interview
Also during this time - Wilson Ramos rattled off a 26-game hitting streak, which holy crap. (We do not speak of game 26 in these parts)
Alas, the Mets fell short. Despite going a strong 17-10 in September, the Brewers went 20-7 and earned the second Wild Card spot by that three game margin. Still, September had its moments as well:
Rajai Davis beating the Dodgers with a three-run double after deGrom and Ryu had matched zeroes
A rally in Coors capped by Seth Lugo’s eff-the-DH RBI single
Michael Conforto’s two-homer game and Brandon Nimmo’s walk-off walk to stave off elimination
Pete Alonso breaking the rookie home run record in the penultimate game of the year
And in the very final game of the year, Dominic Smith’s walk-off home run against the Braves in his first plate appearance in two months.
The Mets’ goal in 2019 was to make the playoffs. They didn’t manage that. But they came damn close, and their resilience and their exuberant and emergent young core made the second half of 2019 just about as fun a stretch of baseball as I can remember. Now, I promised individual love to the three Mets All-Stars of 2019, so without further ado:
Pete Alonso. I don’t even know where to begin. The question in spring training was whether he’d be on the Opening Day roster, or if the Mets would do the usual service time delay and bring him up a few weeks into the season. As it turns out, not only did he make the Opening Day roster, he batted second against literally Max Scherzer. And by god, he never looked back.
Fifty-three home runs, beating the franchise record by twelve, and breaking Aaron Judge’s rookie record from 2017; An All-Star nod, and a victory in the Home Run Derby in Cleveland, despite the best efforts of his rogue cousin/pitcher; A semi-NSFW rallying cry as the Mets surged in late July and August; NL Rookie of the Year, receiving 29 of 30 votes. From prospect to honest-to-goodness superstar in six months flat, I’ve never seen anything like it in a Mets uniform.
Jacob deGrom. Hey, remember in spring training when the other big question over the Mets was whether the front office would give the reigning Cy Young the contract extension he’d been asking for? Well, right on the eve of the season the Mets finally signed him to a big-money deal, five years/$137.5 million. Jake responded by doing the darn thing again. He didn’t put up the preposterous 1.70 ERA from 2018 again, and in fact he had a really rough stretch early in the season that left his ERA sitting at 4.85 at the end of April. But after that, smooth sailing all around. By the end of the year, Jake had a 2.41 ERA, led the NL with 255 strikeouts, and clubbed a pair of solo homers for good measure. To cap it off, in November deGrom was named NL Cy Young for the second year in a row. Yet somehow the Mets again had a losing record in his starts, the exact same 14-18 mark as in 2018. The only explanation is a very spiteful witch, IMO.
Jeff McNeil. The third Mets All-Star of 2019, the Flying Squirrel played in 133 games across four positions - left field, right field, third base, and second base - and was the Mets’ best defender at all of them, while also hitting .318/.384/.531 with 23 home runs and one of the lowest strikeout rates in baseball.
Finally, I want to bring attention to a delightful thing going on in /newyorkmets this offseason. User tommysaidwhat has been counting down the time until spring training by posting cursed photoshops authentic photographs of Mets legends. You know, like Jam Banki, Poundo Station, and Lomar “Big Hand” Quiltinbinder. I’m not entirely sure when, but at some point a couple of users promised to donate some money to the local Humane Society, or other such charity, if the series made it all the way to spring training. It’s still going strong, and as of Monday, January 13, an incredible $1,418.86 has been pledged or already donated. I’m so, so proud of this.
And that’s about it. Entering 2020, we’ve said farewell to some long-term Mets (Zack Wheeler, Juan Lagares); got a new manager (Carlos Beltran Luis Rojas); a soon-to-be new majority owner (Steve Cohen) NEVER MIND; and some new Guys to Remember (Rick Porcello, Michael Wacha, Dellin Betances, Jake Marisnick). I’m looking forward to it.
submitted by see_mohn to baseball [link] [comments]

I simulated the 2020 season entirely inside the Polo Grounds

Whenever the Polo Grounds is brought up, there's usually a discussion about how it affects stats - shorter foul lines increase home runs, deep center field reduces home runs, etc. So I decided to simulate every 2020 game inside the Polo Grounds to see what would happen.
Doing this was tedious but not very difficult. Because The Show 20 introduced the custom team option in franchise, all I had to do was replace every team with a custom version of themselves that played their home games at the Polo Grounds. To eliminate any contamination, every franchise option (trades, lineups, injury management, etc.) was controlled by the CPU with default sliders and every game was simulated.

REGULAR SEASON
So, let's get the obvious out of the way first: triples were up this year (by 7.51%). Compared to the 785 triples that were hit in 2019, there were 844 triples hit in 2020. Interestingly though, the most triples as a team didn't increase - the team with the most triples in 2019 was the White Sox with 42. In 2020, it was Colorado and Detroit with 41. League highs for players were also similar - 2019 was a 4-way tie with 10 and 2020 was Mallex Smith with 11.
But here's what I think is really interesting - over the whole MLB, doubles were down 9.65% (8,531 in 2019; 7,708 in 2020) and HRs were down 10.23% (6,776 in 2019; 6,083 in 2020). The Twins set an MLB record with 307 HRs in 2019, but in 2020 the highest team total for HRs was the Yankees with 282.
My theory for this is that the center field wall prevented more home runs than the foul poles created, and the outfielders had to play deeper which cut down on doubles (as well as some doubles turning into triples or HRs).
Hits in general were also up but only marginally so - an increase from 42,039 to 42,857. That's a difference of 1.95% so I'm willing to chalk that up to yearly fluctuations.

Some interesting notes: Acuña very nearly had a 40-40 season, getting 44 steals and 38 home runs. He also had 10 triples and 42 doubles (up from 2 triples and 22 doubles in 2019), so if he had played in Truist he almost certaintly would've gotten the 40-40. Sorry Braves fans.
There was a 2-way tie for the second NL Wild Card spot: Brewers and Braves both with an 89-73 season. Milwaukee won game 163 by the score of 13-7.
Also for some reason Gallo was traded to the Dodgers.

POSTSEASON
Here's the post-season bracket, with the Nats repeating as MLB champions. Apart from Conforto hitting 3 home runs in the wild card game, nothing unusual happened in the post-season. Howie Kendrick got the World Series MVP award, batting .450 and knocking in 5.

AWARDS
NL MVP: Bryce Harper, .313/.414/.687, 57 HRs (MLB-leading), 125 RBI and 9.3 WAR. Definitely a monster year for Bryce, with his .687 SLG being the highest single-season mark since Bonds in '04.
AL MVP: Yordan Alvarez, .345/.448/.654, 53 HRs, 140 RBI and 9.0 WAR. Yordan broke out, winning the 2020 MLB batting title. The 140 RBIs was the most since Prince Fielder and Ryan Howard in 2009.
NL Cy Young: Stephen Strasburg, 19-2, 2.76 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 5.3 WAR
AL Cy Young: Justin Verlander, 20-4, 2.69 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 6.0 WAR

All in all, this turned out way more normal than I was expecting. Every team and most players played to the expectations they have IRL and there wasn't any aspect about hitting that was completely bonkers. I'll probably simulate a few more seasons to see whether the change in doubles/triples/homers is consistent or just a fluke, but other than that it seems like the Polo Grounds is more of an annoyance than anything else.
submitted by Ambly_Andberg to MLBTheShow [link] [comments]

Have you ever heard of Margin Trading Facility for NRIs? It's here at Tradeplus

We have been bringing to light the various benefits of the relaxation made by RBI for NRO accounts. For the benefit of those who do not know about it,� click� to read our article explaining the changes with benefits. To continue our effort in bringing the real benefits to NRO based investors, we open up yet another facility where NRIs can utilize our Margin Trading Facility in a non-repatriate account.

Know more: http://blog.tradeplusonline.com/nri-trading/ever-heard-margin-trading-facility-nris-tradeplus/
submitted by Tradeplusonline01 to stackexchange [link] [comments]

Can an Indian resident invest directly in US/Europe stocks/ETF/MF/bonds from India?

My impression was that this is not possible from India. Then I saw that Interactivebrokers launched Lite account in India. https://twitter.com/IBKstatus/1178665189736173568?s=20
From their FAQ it seems to be possible.
https://www.interactivebrokers.co.in/en/index.php?f=25308
Can I trade all products through Interactive Brokers as an Indian resident? Such as stocks, options, ETF's, derivatives, etc.?
The RBI's liberalised remittance scheme allows Indian residents to remit money abroad for various purposes, details are available at https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/NotificationUser.aspx?Id=10192&Mode=0. In your account with Interactive Brokers, you can invest (shorting is not permitted) in stocks, ETF's, bonds and options listed on over 100 markets across 26 countries. Margin trading is not permitted.
  1. Is Indian residents being able to invest in US securities a new thing started by IB or was it always possible?
  2. What's the catch here? Am I missing something
  3. For investing in US securities which broker is the cheap and safe option? I know that IB have international reputation
submitted by doompatrols to IndiaInvestments [link] [comments]

Astropocalypse, Season 6: Galloping All-In

I started Astropocalypse last year, and it proved incredibly prophetic. First the real-life Astros got whacked hard. And then, all of Major League Baseball got nuked! I'm a little scared of what will happen next …
As a recap: Before the 2018 season, I deleted every player in the Astros' organization to see how long it would take me to rebuild a competitive franchise from absolutely nothing. The answer was apparently five years, as I won the division last year before falling in the ALCS in four games. The experiment has been proven a success, but now I want more!
Season 1 (2018) recap Season 2 (2019) recap Season 3 (2020) recap Season 4 (2021) recap Season 5 (2022) recap
Off-season:
Drew Pomeranz came over in mid-season and really boosted the rotation. Overall, he had a 3.33 ERA and 3.0 WAR in 2022, so I went ahead and re-upped him for 3 years/$30 million. Not too expensive or long-term, and my minor-league starting pitching is less than great, so even having him as a #4 starter (behind Chris Sale, Jose Quintana, and Jon Gray) seemed worthwhile.
Shohei Ohtani won the AL Cy Young Award, with 19 first-place votes. Quintana was second with 7, and Sale was oddly sixth despite getting 4 first-place votes.
Giancarlo Stanton was AL MVP, hitting 61 HR go to with his 62 from last year. He's led the AL in home runs five of the last six seasons, and I could really use a right-handed power hitter, so, on a lark, I decided to see if the Yankees would be willing to trade him. They were surprisingly willing to deal, and after some back-and-forth, I finally pulled the trigger on a deal that would send my starting 1B, Evan White, along with Michael A. Taylor, who I wanted to get rid of, and a fringe reliever to the Yankees for Stanton.
https://imgur.com/zhiVvdt
Stanton had $32m/$32m/$32m/$19m/$15m left on his contract, but I had over $50 million to spend this year (and saved about $7m on the players I sent away), so I thought it was worthwhile, especially since Giancarlo wasn't showing any signs of slowing down. I still had Pavin Smith, a very good average/on-base guy to play first base, so Stanton would easily slide into the DH slot.
(Also, I found that I could deal another one of my fringe players for Aaron Judge and basically re-create the Yankees outfield. I declined.)
Apart from Stanton, I didn't make too many major moves in free agency, except to probably overpay a couple of relievers, Mauricio Cabrera and Joe Jiminez. I'm a little worried about my starting pitching depth, despite signing the adequate Luiz Gohara cheaply in the preseason, but my bullpen should be awesome. After how my outfield collapsed at the end of the last season, I went all-in on veteran backups, getting Aaron Hicks, Billy Hamilton, and Victor Robles on minor-league deals. If anything went truly wrong, I had about $25 million left and could swing a trade. (Spoiler: Nothing went wrong but I did manage quite the trade...)
Todd Helton was the only inductee into the Hall of Fame, with 87.9% of the vote. Carlos Beltran (70.4%) and Bobby Abreu (52.9%) also made it over 50%.
In the first week of Spring Training, we suffered three injuries, the most serious of which was Alex Kiriloff, who would miss 6 weeks with a sprained ankle. Quintana suffered a strained oblique on March 19 and was listed as being out 4-5 weeks, making my Gohara pickup seem that much better.
David Price, who I'd picked up from Boston three years ago and paid over $30 million each year re-signed with Boston for just $3 million. He actually turned in a pretty good season for the Red Sox at age 38, with a 4.25 ERA and 3.4 WAR but led the league with 16 losses as Boston had the second-worst record in the Majors.
We finished best in our division, with an 18-12 record. Preseason predictions: an optimistic, but realistic, 96-66. You'll note that Pavin Smith was predicted to have a .341 average, Giancarlo Stanton to slug 51 HR, and Chris Sale to be the best pitcher in the AL.
https://imgur.com/ByhNvWz
Regular season, first half
Opening Day was an 8-2 win over Texas. Sale allowed 2 H and 2 BB over 7.1 IP, while striking out 11. Stanton hit two of our team's four home runs. By the end of the first week, he'd gone deep four times, the last one being a two-run game-winner in the 9th. Those “Acquire a Power Hitter” and “Improve Team Stats – Home Runs” owner goals is looking good!
We played 17 straight days to open the season … and went 13-4. Coming back from our day off, this happened:
https://imgur.com/umyiVuP
Just one error by Arquimedes Gamboa in the third kept it from being a perfect game.
In less-good news, my #2 draft pick from 2019, who I'd pegged to maybe grab a rotation spot by now, was having a rough time of things:
https://imgur.com/ptqUjQQ
And here's a crazy game from late April:
https://imgur.com/mpjoubT
By the end of April, we were: 21-6, with six wins coming by shutout. No other team had more than 16 wins in the month. We were #1 in the power rankings, 29 points ahead of the #2 team.
https://imgur.com/nFdYT3e
We had a 10-game winning streak in April and then another, split between April and May. I kept waiting for things to get worse, but they surprisingly didn't. After 40 games, we were 30-10, and while the offense isn't bad, we're preventing runs like nobody's business:
https://imgur.com/HKVUAHm
Brian Sharp, who had a good rookie year in 2022, was struggling, so I looked around to see if any other third basemen were available in trades. Texas seemed willing to part with Joey Gallo, who had WARs of 7.3 and 6.4 in the past two seasons, and was at 2.3 a third of the way through this season.
https://imgur.com/BH89eQ6
I asked what they would want for him, and they were willing to give him up for a 2.5* potential 19-year-old scouting discovery pitcher who had yet to appear in a game. I couldn't pass that deal up, I had plenty of budget room to absorb his $20m salary, and he's just on a one-year deal, so I pulled the trigger. Paired with Stanton, that gave me a 75 and an 80 power in the middle of my lineup – and, with their 25 and 30 Avoid K's rating, they'll provide plenty of air conditioning. Hey, it gets pretty hot and humid in Houston, so the fans should appreciate it.
https://imgur.com/joHa37j
By the end of May, we were 39-16, 6.5 games up in our division. Stanton and Gallo were #1 and #2 in the AL in HR.
Gohara emailed me about a possible contract extension, and when I asked him what he wanted, he only asked for about $1.1 million per year for four years. At that rate, I figured he was basically free, so I offered him one more year and he accepted. His ERA at the time was 3.80 and he had a 1.3 WAR, so even if he's only a back-end starter or a decent reliever, it's an outstanding deal. He slowed down a bit, but still managed a 4.40 ERA and 2.6 WAR over the course of the season, so I'd say he's worth it.
Gallo was doing well for me, so I also peeked at his extension demands. Um, yeah, not gonna happen, Joey:
https://imgur.com/PQpyaiF
Chris Sale won Pitcher of the Month in June, logging complete games in three of his five starts.
I wish OOTP could track something like “9th inning rallies” because I'd love to see how many times my team did this throughout the season:
https://imgur.com/rPzyGRk
https://imgur.com/tBroKSF
https://imgur.com/5FsKlrx
We came into the All-Star Break on July 10 with a 61-28 record, best in the majors, and a 14-game lead in our division. We were top three in the league in every major statistical category, including best overall in the Majors in runs against – especially impressive for an AL team.
https://imgur.com/MLpOtxg
Regular season, second half
We landed five players on the All-Star Team: Chris Sale, Alec Mills, Pavin Smith, Joey Gallo, Giancarlo Stanton, and Jake McCarthy. It was an exciting affair, too, with the Cubs' Victor Caratini walking off the NL 6-3 with a three-run blast off Tampa Bay's Carl Edwards Jr. in the bottom of the ninth. Hey, it beat going into extra innings, right Bud?
Keeping tabs on other former Astros, Masahiro Tanaka was traded from the Blue Jays to the Dodgers in late July. Amazingly, the Dodgers actually gave up two players for a guy who had a 9.49 ERA in 11 starts. He had a 6.60 in 6 starts for the Dodgers before missing the rest of the season with elbow tendinitis. For the season, he had a brutal 8.39 ERA in 17 starts, averaging just 4 2/3 IP per start. And my owner wanted me to re-sign him a few years back!
https://imgur.com/U4eHTWX
In late July we played a double-header, followed by a third game against Cincinnati. We scored 12 in each of the first two games and then, in the third, did this to their pitching staff, which would be a crime in 37 states:
https://imgur.com/Om8hHao
Stanton had 7 PA in that game and reached base every time: 2-run HR, HBP, 2-run HR, BB, BB, bases loaded BB, BB.
Immediately following that game, we lost three games in a row to Tampa Bay, on July 28-30. It was our first three-game losing streak of the year.
The next day, we were trailing Detroit 2-0 and seemed to be on our way to a fourth straight loss and then:
https://imgur.com/OdmoBFq
Which was followed by this:
https://imgur.com/VaA88xQ
Gallo was Player of the Month in July, hitting 13 HR. Stanton had 10 HR for the month. The two of them had more home runs (23) in July than San Diego (22), Arizona (22), Washington (21), Pittsburgh (19), Kansas City (19), Detroit (18), and Columbus (14).
As usual in every sim I've ever run ever, it was after the trading deadline that the injuries started piling up. My second-year shortstop, Jonathan Ornelas, went down with a broken collarbone on Aug. 6. Fortunately, I still had my my other SS, Arquimedes Gamboa, to capably take over from him, in a reversal of what happened last year, when Gamboa got hurt late in the season and Ornelas took his place.
Two days later, Jose Quintana went down with rotator cuff tendinitis. He was initially diagnosed as missing three weeks. Then another week was tacked on, and then it was the dreaded “Recovery Unclear.” He wound up missing just over a month.
Then my closer, Mauricio Cabrera, suffered a torn UCL. 12 months. Ouch.
Overall, we were 15-13 in August. It was our roughest month so far, and it felt worse, which goes to show how amazing the rest of the season had been. Still, we went into September with an 87-48 record, a 16-game lead in the division, and a magic number of 13.
If our entire season was a “comeback story” from having the whole team obliterated six years ago, then games like this were a microcosm of the entire affair. Down 6-0 in the top of the 1st? No big.
https://imgur.com/qSAC4ss
We clinched on Sept. 13. Chris Sale got win #20 on Sept. 26, which was team win #99, bettering our record from last season. Our 100th win came the next day.
We went 15-12 in September and October, closing out the season with a 102-60 record, best in the Majors and 18 games up in our division. Our run differential was +206, 78 runs better than the next-best team. I went into the playoffs actually thinking we might do it this year, but the previous four years, since I shifted the divisions and playoff format, division winners had had a tough time of advancing, so I wasn't too overconfident.
https://imgur.com/iu12ANh
OK, with those stats, maybe a little.
Still, we'd managed to climb just about every regular-season mountain, and OOTP's individual preseason predictions turned out surprisingly accurate. Smith fell short of the .341 predicted for him at the start of the season, but he still won the AL Batting Title. Sale fell just 0.1 short of the best pitcher WAR, but leading in wins and K's, should give him a solid shot at the Cy. Meanwhile, Stanton hit the exact 51 HR that was predicted for him. For good measure, Jake McCarthy led the AL in stolen bases and even had 19 HR and 85 RBI – not bad for a leadoff guy.
Joey Gallo, however, was an absolute beast. He led the Majors with 59 HR, including 42 in 109 games with Houston. As an Astro, he hit .252/.361/.608 with a 5.0 WAR. I'll be amazed if he doesn't win MVP.
Playoffs
In the first round, we faced Los Angeles (85-78), which had won a playoff game against El Paso to make it to the wild-card round and then beat the Rays to advance.
Game 1 was about as dramatic as could be. We went into the bottom of the 9th down 3-2 but managed to load the bases with one out against former Astro Emilio Pagan. A pair of singles followed, and we took it 4-3. Alex Kiriloff suffered a bruised thigh, a one-week injury, but I was hopeful he'd be able to play through it.
Game 2 was less dramatic. We jumped out to a 6-1 lead after four innings and then just traded a few runs en route to an 8-4 victory. Joey Gallo was the player of the game with a walk, hit-by-pitch, and three-run homer.
In Game 3, the Angels took the early lead with a run in the 2nd but, as has been the case pretty much all season, the offense took over. We scored four in the 3rd and tacked on runs in the 4th and 6th and that was pretty much all that was needed for the 6-2 victory and sweep. The only bad news was that Joe Jiminez left the game with a sore back, another minimal weeklong injury.
In an unusual reversal from my previous seasons with this playoff setup, only one division winner, Philadelphia, failed to advance to its respective CS. That wasn't too surprising, though, given their record (88-74) and the record of the wild card team they lost to (San Francisco, 96-66).
In the ALCS, we took on the AL East Champion Yankees (93-70). In Game 1, Luis Severino left after just 1.2 IP after giving up a run and suffering a torn flexor tendon in his left elbow, which is supposed to keep him on the shelf for 13-14 months. His bullpen kept us off the board the rest of the way, and it was a blowout 8-1 loss.
Game 2 wasn't much better. The Yankees exploded for 7 runs in the 5th off Jon Gray. We tried to catch up, and Stanton went 3-4 with 2 HR, 5 RBI, and POTG honors, but the comeback fell short and we lost 9-6.
We finally came through in Game 3, winning 6-2 on the strength of Luiz Gohara's seven shutout innings of one-hit ball. (We'll ignore the five walks.) Kiriloff suffered another DtD injury, though, this one lasting three days.
We evened the series at two apiece with a 2-0 shutout in Game 4. Jose Quintana did just enough, going 5.1 IP with 3 H and 4 BB, and the bullpen did the rest. It was scoreless going into the 9th, and then Gallo hustled home from first on a double by Willson Contreras, who then scored on a Christian Hicks single.
Because of the injury to Severino, Giovanny Gallegos, a 2* pitcher, was on the mound facing my ace, Chris Sale in Game 5. They both pitched pretty equally, with Sale giving up 3 in 6 IP and Gallegos giving up 2 in 5 IP. The difference was the bullpen. Mine finished the final three innings without giving up a run, while we put up one each on two pitchers to secure the 4-3 comeback win, with the dinged-up Alex Kiriloff providing the game winner with a solo shot in the 8th.
Game 6 was tied 3-3 after nine innings. In a move reminiscent of Charlie Leibrant in Game 6 of the 1991 World Series, Drew Pomenanz, normally my fifth starter, came in to pitch the top of the 10th to relieve Jimenez and allowed both his runner to score while giving up three more. Stanton doubled, Gallo blasted a homer to dead center, and Benintendi singled to get the tying run up to the plate with nobody out in the bottom of the inning. But then we ran out of gas, with three straight flyball outs – all on the first pitch – to lose it 7-5.
In Game 7, it was all on the line. I did something I'd never done in six years of this sim: I watched a game. I was tempted to take control, but I decided to trust my manager and let Don Mattingly – who I'd rightfully signed to an extension earlier in the season, along with my power-focused hitting coach – make all the decisions.
https://imgur.com/qC1yqBH
Yes, that's Evan White, who was part of the Stanton deal, playing for New York. Oddly, the Yankees had kept him in the minors nearly all season. They released Michael A. Taylor, and the reliever I threw in, Matt Tabor, managed just six games in New York with an 8.31 ERA before fracturing his shoulder. So I'd say I won that trade.
In the top of the 1st, New York advanced a runner to third and I got antsy, but he didn't score. In the bottom of the inning, I watched gleefully as we struck for four runs. Hey, this isn't so bad!
In the 2nd, it was bad. The Yankees scored three times and I was cursing life, and Mattingly, again. In the bottom of the inning, we scored again to make it 5-3, and Yankees manager Aaron Boone decided to go to the bullpen after just 1.1 IP from his starter. He replaced that pitcher with another reliever in the 3rd and I was liking my chances – all but one of their remaining pitchers were yellow, while I had four in the white. The longer we could drag this out, the better.
That pitcher was the infamous Brad Hand, who I'd shipped away in early 2020 when he had an 8.20 ERA and a bad attitude. I got Alex Kiriloff for him and an OF prospect who hasn't made it out of AA. Hand gave up two more runs to make it 7-3. More importantly, he threw 27 pitches.
New York got one back in the top of the 4th and Gohara departed after one more inning. Hand stayed in to pitch 3 innings total, racking up 51 pitches and overall not doing too badly.
In the 6th, New York had runners on first and third with no outs and hit a fly ball to Stanton in left. He made the catch and then gunned the runner out at home. The Yankees did eventually score a run, making it 7-5, but it could have been worse.
That run was scored by Didi Gregorius, who got injured and was replaced at shortstop by an outfielder, despite having two infielders on the bench. Granted, those two were Carlos Santana and Miguel Sano (who at least started his pro career as a SS), but either would likely have been a better choice.
We tacked on one more in the 6th and 7th to make the margin a little more secure, and that was about all she wrote. We went to the World Series with a 9-5 victory in Game 7!
https://imgur.com/VX2FvqI
It was Astros (102-60) and Cubs (99-63) in the World Series, a fitting, if uncommon these days, battle between the two teams with the best records in baseball.
Game 1 was a back-and-forth affair. The Cubs went up 1-0 in the 1st, but then we scored four in innings 2-5, only to be countered by three more runs from Chicago in the 6th. We traded runs in the 8th and kept Chicago off the board in the top of the 9th. In a 5-5 tie in the bottom of the 9th, Stanton delivered with a run scoring single to secure the 6-5 victory.
Game 2 again saw the Cubs go up in the top of the 1st, this time on a two-run blast by Anthony Rizzo. Stanton countered with a shot of his own in the bottom of the inning to tie it at two. We scored in the 2nd and 5th, Chicago in the 4th, so it was 4-3 Houston going into the bottom of the 6th. That was when we exploded for four runs, including a three-run blast by Gallo, and that was the final score: 8-3.
In Game 3, we took the early lead and never looked back. Starting pitcher Jon Gray actually drove in a run as part of a three-run 2nd inning, and Chicago only managed three hits overall. Gallo provided the final bit of punctuation with a solo shot in the 9th to make the final margin 5-1 and put us one win away from the championship.
It wasn't to be, at least not yet. In Game 4, we each scored four runs in the 2nd and 3rd … and then that was all the scoring until the 12th. Each team used seven pitchers and four pinch hitters, but it was Chicago's Dansby Swanson who knocked in the game winner in the bottom of the inning for a final score of 5-4.
In Game 5, we again traded runs early, and it was 3-3 after the 4th. Again, nobody scored for several innings, and it was still tied headed into the 9th. Chicago brought in their closer, Dave Leatherwood, who had a 2.86 ERA and 46 saves in the regular season, giving up just 2 HR in 72.1 IP. Joey Gallo led off, and …
https://imgur.com/aZvoMMJ
We didn't score any more in the inning, so we went into the bottom of the 9th with a 4-3 lead and our closer, Jorge Arvizu, on the mound. He'd thrown 28 pitches the previous day and had pitched the 8th tonight. He was showing signs of fatigue, giving up a single to Chicago's leadoff man, Aramis Ademan. That brought Joe Jiminez out of the bullpen, and he'd been about as reliable as could be in the setup role, with an 8-5 record, 6 saves, and a 2.63 ERA in 65 IP in the regular season. And he was facing the 7-8-9 spots in the Cubs' lineup.
The first batter, Vince Fernandez: swinging strike, called strike, swinging strike.
The second batter, Kevin Kiermaier, worked the count to 2-2 before flying out to McCarthy in right.
That brought up pinch-hitter Michael Curry, a 2* player who had 10 PA during the regular season … but he did have a 55 power. If he could connect, if Jiminez made a mistake, we'd be going to a Game 6.
Curry never made contact. Swinging strike, ball, called strike, ball … and swinging strike to end it.
Six years after having their franchise completely obliterated, Houston has won the World Series!
https://imgur.com/jVLcWRL
Gallo was the well-deserving MVP. He had six hits in the five-game series – and five of them were homers, including the Series-winner. I've made a lot of trades in this sim, but that one might have been my best, even if the guy I dealt for him turns out to be the next Clayton Kershaw.
The only downside? I'm actually considering that $45m/year extension for him ...
So I put together a sheet that indicated how and when I got every player on my final playoff roster. Only two were draft picks, which isn't too bad for having nothing to start from. Five players were acquired during my first season, with two – Devan Watts, who was in my bullpen all six seasons, and Leonicio Ventura, who made his Major League debut and claimed the backup catcher job this season – being with the franchise from the day one. And it's a little ironic that the team I beat in the World Series provided me with four of my players. Thanks, guys!
https://imgur.com/GXaS0FE
Now that I've “won,” I think that's going to do it with the regular updates for this sim. I might still play around with it to some degree, and maybe even post an update if something especially interesting happens. Heck, maybe I'll even finally stream OOTP.
Thanks to everyone who's been following along! It's been a heck of a ride!
2018: 61-101, Score: 91 2019: 68-94, Score: 156 2020: 68-94, Score: 280 2021: 82-81, Score: 589 2022: 98-64, Score: 859 2023: 102-60, Score: 931
https://imgur.com/k2mMHgB
submitted by Karzender to OOTP [link] [comments]

An Honest Conversation About Demonetization

Long Post Warning
Please note I'm only looking at the big picture. I'm not trying to minimize the suffering of lakhs, just want to get an overall view of DeMo and its effects on the economy, black money and the tax base.
The Good:
The Bad:
The Ugly:
A couple more points I'd like to add:
Summing up, I'd like to point out that DeMo can neither be categorized as a success or a failure. It has its place, in the grey, neither black nor white as some people believe. That's the point of my post. Thanks for reading.Please let me know if I missed anything and I'd be happy to update my post.
submitted by facts_and_figures to india [link] [comments]

Great Lakes Baseball Federation 2020 Season Update #2 6/23/20

We are nearing the halfway point of the first ever GLBF season, and things are definitely interesting. The league has a division still without a winning team, a team that is 20 games above .500 already, a division with three teams with a winning record, and a team with the home run leader, who is in last place. Let’s get right into it.
East Division
  1. Bowling Green Griffons 24-26
  2. Elmira Marksmen 20-27
  3. Roanoke Railsplitters 20-30
  4. Scranton Thunderbolts 18-31
Wow, this division somehow got worse. At the 25 game mark most people attributed this to a slow start and by the next update that someone would have started to play good baseball. Nope, this might just be a plain bad division.
Scranton just doesn’t have much life at all. Their rotation is meh at best, with Bill Thompson accumulating a 3.51 ERA but only posting a 2-4 record. Randy McDaniel is the only other starter with an ERA below five. An injury to starter Larry Moss doesn’t help matters, but it won’t matter down the stretch. The bullpen has one arm of note, set up man Steve Ashley, who in 19 games has struckout 18 and posted a 1.42 ERA.
The Thunderbolts bats have no jolt in them. This is the worst hitting team in the league by a larger margin. Playing in Philbin’s Ballpark which is a hitters dream, Scranton ranks dead last in every offensive category except home runs, but if they didn’t play in the smallest park in the league, they probably would be last in that too. Center fielder Val Leandro leads the team in dingers with 14. No Scranton batter is hitting above .272 and as a lineup they combine for a pitiful 0.4 WAR.
Roanoke has been a major disappointment this year. First overall pick Jeremy Byers still hasn’t found his footing, tallying a 3-5 record with a 4.76 ERA to this point in the season. Geoff Hawkinson has done his best to steady the rotation with his 3.81 ERA, but he isn’t getting any help from his colleagues. The bullpen has been nice. Owners of the third best ERA in the league, they are likely the reason they aren’t in last place.
Their offense has been subpar through 50 games. In the bottom half of every category besides batting average (where they rank fifth), the Railsplitters haven’t gotten the production they need from the bats. Outfielder Danny Avalos has tried his bat, hitting .298 with 13 home runs and 39 RBIs, all of which lead the team. I said last update to expect this team to have a winning record, and they got worse. There really isn’t a reason to believe this team will climb out of the hole they have already dug. Expect them to sell at the deadline.
There’s good news and bad news with Elmira. The bad news for the Marksmen is that they are bad and hold a 20-27 record. The good news? They are only two and a half games out of the division lead.
Their starters have been the worst in the majors, with Jose Ortiz being their best arm with a 4.34 ERA and 48 strikeouts in 58 innings, but besides that there isn’t anything worthwhile in their rotation. Closer Minyomei Cochran is second in the league with 15 saves and a 1.50 ERA. He is the only bright spot in an otherwise bad pen.
Much like their divisional rivals, Elmira ranks near the bottom in most if not all offensive categories. With only one bat hitting above .300, Vic Templeton is their best hitter out of the DH spot. Templeton stands at a .291 average with 14 homer runs and 43 RBI’s. Denny Seghi has been a nice piece for them. Hitting .328 with nine round trippers. Sending center fielder Tony Guzman to Thunder Bay for a pair of prospects won’t help them get back above .500. This team is hanging around, but they need a better strategy than “hope the other teams suck more” if they want to win the division.
Once again the division “leaders” the Bowling Green Griffons. Sitting at 24-26, they are the least bad of the teams in the East. Their rotation has a steep drop off. Front end guys Tony Arreola and Jim Latimer both have 5-2 records and ERAs in the threes. While the rest have ERAs north of eight. It’s proven they have some strong talent, but they need a supporting cast. The bullpen has been middle of the road. Their best arm in relief has been Brian Delph posting a 1.57 ERA through 28.2 innings of work.
Now the Bowling Green bats have put up some impressive numbers. Spots one through five in the order have all hit double digit home runs. Led by left fielder Ryan Haley, who has put a third best in the league 17 balls in the seats, is also leading the way in terms of average with a .319 line. This team can score runs, evident by having six different players over 25 RBI’s. This team is going to need to find a starter on the trade market, if they can just get a couple average arms, they can run away with the division.
Central Division
  1. Belle Isle Bandits 35-15
  2. Port Huron Patriots 28-21
  3. Dayton Huskies 22-28
  4. Muskegon Riptide 20-30
At about the 40 game mark I was almost willing to call the division only a third of the way into the season, but Port Huron winning nine of 10 really made this an interesting race. Dayton and Muskegon on the other hand look like they will be sellers come July.
The Muskegon Riptide have struggled since the 25 game mark, going 9-16 in that stretch. Their rotation has been decent, accumulating a 5.14 ERA which ranks fifth in the GLBF. Jaylen Jones has paced the rotation with a 3.16 ERA. Bobby Perry is sitting at a 4.36 ERA. The bullpen has struggled, and that is likely due to the myriad of injuries they have suffered. Closer Jimmy McDaniel has been brutal coming out in the ninth. His ERA is sitting at 6.62 and has a handful of blown saves.
The Riptide actually has some good things going on offense. Right fielder Tom Calderon, second baseman Elvis DeLozier and first baseman Chris Brill are all hitting north of .300 with DeLozier leading the way at .335. Thanks to the efforts of those three they have the second best team average in the league. With every other offensive stat being about middle of the pack, it is not the offense that is causing the Riptide to be ten games under .500
The Dayton Huskies have not done much of note. Their first overall pick Ron Schwartz ruptured a tendon in his finger, which will cost him the rest of the season. Having their ace sidelined until 2021 will spell trouble for the struggling Huskies. Their best starter now is left hander Kelly Wright who through 56 innings has a 4.82 ERA. Up until now their staff has been middle of the road. But in Schwartz’s absence, expect the Huskies to regress. Their bullpen has been above average. Setup man Ron Eledge has a 1.57 ERA in 20 appearances to pace the pen.
Like Muskegon, the bats have tried to do their part. They rank middle of the road in most categories, topping out at third in batting average. The Corey’s, second baseman Corey Rumpel and first baseman Corey Terry both are hitting above .300 with Jamie Schmidt joining them from the outfield. Losing their best player will hurt Dayton too much, it’s hard to imagine some of the names mentioned not having new homes in a little over a month.
Port Huron has been a pleasant surprise. Sitting seven games above .500, they have gotten very hot of late to be put squarely in the playoff discussion. A big reason for this is their very consistent rotation. Jon Hansen leads the charge with the third best ERA in the GLBF at 3.09, and every other starter posting an ERA in the fours. The bullpen has been below average, with closer Jeremy Bradford earning a 4.68 ERA in the ninth inning. As a pen, the group rates 8th in majors.
Unexpectedly, this team’s weak spot has been the sticks. Led by Tzu-jao Eng who is third in the league with his .340 average, hasn’t gotten much help. Evan Mendenall is hitting .326 with nine bombs and 30 RBI’s out of the three hole, and a few other bats have been decent. However, the drop off is steep with this lineup. If they can get an extra bat or two this team could challenge for the wild card.
Now for the Belle Isle Bandits. Wow. They got better? This is a very scary team. Let’s start off with every team category they lead in. The Bandits are best in the GLBF in: Runs Scored, batting WAR, runs against, starters ERA, bullpen ERA, and defensive efficiency. They also second in another four categories, and rank at least fourth in the rest except stolen bases. So this team scores the most runs, gives up the least amount of runs, and makes the least amount of errors. That’s a winning formula if I’ve ever seen one.
Their top three in the rotation, Ben Bertuca, Mike Ryan and Phill Mitchell were 10-0 at the first update. They are 18-1 now. Bertuca might be the best arm in the majors with his 2.38 ERA through 10 starts. His seven wins also lead the majors. Ryan also finds himself atop a leaderboard, striking out 74 batters in 67 innings of work, that’s eight more strikeouts than the next closest. Their bullpen is led by GLBF saves leader Pat Singer with 18. His ERA sits at 1.71, which isn’t even the best out of that bullpen. Belle Isle has a total of five arms with an ERA below 2.60, and three of those are in the ones.
The lineup is only slightly less impressive than the pitching staff. Tyler Tramback is still terrifying opposing pitching. Hitting .358, league leading, with 18 long balls, second best in the league, and a league leading 1.216 OPS, he is continuing his MVP campaign. His supporting cast is helping him out greatly. Steve Colburn is hitting .296 with 40 RBI’s and DH Jusin Holmes is leading the majors with 47 RBIs. Belle Isle getting 40 year old second baseman Jeremy McMillan has been a great addition. McMillan is hitting .304 with 10 bombs out of the leadoff spot. Port Huron appears to be a good team, but I would be shocked if the Bandits aren’t celebrating a division crown at season’s end.
West Division
  1. Thunder Bay Salukis 31-18
  2. Peoria Lancers 29-21
  3. Lexington Thoroughbreds 28-22
  4. Rockford Red Hawks 22-28
An incredibly competitive division. Still three teams that could legitimately win the West division crown.
Rockford is in the basement of the West, but there is some sympathy there. For one, if they were in the East they would be a mere two games back of the first place Griffons. And two, they do have some nice pieces on this team. Those pieces are not in the rotation. They rank 11th in starter ERA with a 6.13 ERA as a staff. Jason Reichenbach is now the team leader in ERA with a 3.70 to this point. Rob Mitchell and Jim Driver have struggled, now posting ERA’s closer to five than four. The bullpen has actually been above average, led by closer Kevin Perry, he has 10 saves with a 2.20 ERA.
The bats is where this team shines. Despite being in last place, they have the league's leader in home runs, second baseman Dan Kopec. Kopec’s 21 is three higher than the next closest. His 55 RBIs are also tops in the majors. First baseman Devin Rumsey is second in the GLBF in batting average. Posting a .343 line with nine home runs. While I don’t expect this team to be in playoff contention, they are a nice team that is definitely the best of all the fourth place teams.
The Lexington Thoroughbreds are the only third place team with a winning record. They have managed to do so despite a horrid pitching staff, both in the rotation and the bullpen. Their starters have a combined 5.48 ERA, which lands them ninth in the league. Right hander Pierce Starnes has collected a 4-2 record with a 3.47 ERA to help keep cabin pressure in Lexington. UBL (The GLBF’s AAA) call up Jay Chaplin had a solid first start with the team, getting the win after only allowing one run through seven innings. Lexington fans hope he can keep this up.
The bullpen is the worst in the majors. Combining for a whopping 6.04 ERA, there is nobody worth mentioning, as it would only embarrass them.
The reason why this team is still above water is their bats. They are in the top half of every offensive category and are led by first baseman Brian Wille. Wille is hitting .314, with 16 jacks and 47 RBI’s, all are good for the team lead. The rest of the line up has been solid, including Terry Greathouse and Paul Wegner who are hitt above the .270 line.
This team is definitely in the hunt still, give them competent pitching and they could make a serious run.
The Peoria Lancers are the antithesis of the Lexington Thoroughbreds. They have a very solid set of arms, but cannot push across many runs. The starters rank fourth in the league in ERA. Their ace Dan Gallagher is second in the league with his 2.75 ERA. The bullpen has been nearly lights out. Coming in second in the league in bullpen ERA, they are led by closer Cameron Ingram with an astounding 0.42 ERA and 14 saves. Setup man Scott Siravo is no slouch either. Amassing a 1.76 ERA through 15.1 innings of work, he has helped preserve leads when the Lancers would get them.
Their bats on the other hand are bad. Ranking in the bottom third of every single category, they have relied on their arms to keep opposing teams scores to a minimum. Bob Jackson leads the team with 12 home runs and 41 RBIs. Geoff MacLeod is the team leader in average, hitting at a .320 mark. This team is throwing its way into contention. They are currently a half game up on Port Huron in the wild card race, and this should make for an exciting race down the stretch.
The Thunder Bay Salukis are the leading team in the GLBF West, and it is not hard to see why. They have the second best rotation by ERA, and give up the third fewest runs. Their worst starter is sitting at a 5.94 ERA and they have two arms, Fidel Alvarez and J.D. Dominguez have ERA’s under 3.50. Their closer Bobby Siglow has nine saves and hasn’t given up an earned run this season.
Their offense is Belle Isle levels off good. Leading the league in average, OBP, OPS, and weighted OBP. Tom Branson, Nick Meloche, and Mike Bock are all hitting above .300 and combine for 34 home runs. Recent trade acquisition from Elmira Tony Guzman is hitting .297 and has been a welcomed addition to the Saluki lineup.
Thunder Bay could challenge Belle Isle for best record in the majors, but will have to contend with both Peoria and Lexington for the West division crown.
We are starting to see the divide between the good and bad teams. This should make for an exciting stretch, as there are definitely more than four playoff caliber teams, but none seemingly reside in the East.
submitted by beadlejuice44 to OOTP [link] [comments]

Dodger of the Day: Tony Abreu (IF, 2007-2009)

Today’s Dodger of the Day is infielder Tony Abreu. Abreu is one of the select players who played for both the Dodgers and the Giants.
Etanislao Toni Abreu was born November 13, 1984, in Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic. Dodger scout Pablo Peguero signed him as an undrafted free agent in October 2002 and Abreu made his pro debut the next year. He played 45 games for the GCL Dodgers in 2003, hitting .294 with a .756 OPS. He received a promotion to the A+ Vero Beach Dodgers at the end of the season, going hitless in 10 at-bats. His plate discipline was a significant problem, drawing 12 walks and 26 strikeouts.
Abreu only played 11 games in Vero Beach in 2004. He was spent most of the season with the Single-A Columbus Catfish, where his hitting marginally improved. He hit .301, eight home runs and 54 RBI. His plate discipline got even worse and he drew eight walks and struck 59 times.
In 2005, he finally showed worth in Vero Beach. Abreu hit .32, good enough to win the Florida State League batting title. He capped off his 2005 with time in AA with the Jacksonville Suns and the Arizona Fall League with the Phoenix Desert Dogs. Abreu handled second base in Jacksonville for all of 2006 and made his first appearance in the Dominican Winter League. He played there yearly until 2016.
Baseball America showed Abreu quite a bit of love as a prospect; he was consistently a top-15 prospect in the Dodgers organization according to BA and they even ranked him the top defensive second baseman in the Southern League...in a year when he led the league in errors.
2007 saw Abreu finally make his major-league debut May 22,, versus the Milwaukee Brewers. He went 0-3. His first major league hit was on the 25th, a double off Carlos Marmol of the Chicago Cubs. Abreu had a scorching hot early June; in a four-game series against the Pirates, he went 7-for-16 with four doubles and three RBI. He would continue to show these flashes of brilliance throughout his career, but he never proved to be anything more than a league-average bat with lousy defense.
A groin injury at the end of 2007 wiped out Abreu’s 2008. He spent most of 2009 with the Albuquerque Isotopes, where he hit a career-high 11 homers, and the Chattanooga Lookouts. Abreu returned to major league play August 7 against Atlanta, but this stint was short-lived and he only went 2-8.
In October 2009, the Dodgers traded Abreu to the Diamondbacks to complete a deal with pitcher Jon Garland. 2010 was a make-or-break year for Abreu. It was an absolute disaster. He could barely get onto the field, much less get his bat on the ball. The majority of his 81 appearances in 2010 were as a pinch-hitter; even when he got the starting role, he rarely impressed.
He actually a pretty good start to the season. Abreu batted consistently above .300, had regular-ish playing time and even had what could have been his breakout performance May 6 in Houston; the starting shortstop that day, he went 4-5 went a run and RBI. His first games against his former team were nothing to write home about: 1-7 with an RBI.
You can pinpoint the date that broke him: June 16. The Diamondbacks visited the Red Sox and Abreu was the starting shortstop. He went 0-4. The scorecard isn’t too damning; 4-3, 6-3, F9, FC. But something about this game in particular, he never recovered from. His batting average prior to this game was .310. After this, it plummets, closing at an abysmal .233. His K rate balloons to 23% and he walks in just 2% of at-bats.
He spends 2011 with PCL’s Reno Aces, staying with the team just long enough to be in the top five in almost every offensive category and lead in precisely none of them. The Diamondbacks cut him at the end of 2011.
The Royals signed him as a free agent December 1, 2011, and assign him to AAA Omaha. The Royals call him up in August and he makes his first appearance for them August 6. He slashes .257/.284/.257 in 74 appearances before being released.
The Giants took a (waiver) flyer on him in 2013. After a short stint in Fresno, he’s called up in June and given regular playing time. He doesn’t impress. A 0.4 WAR, league-average BABIP wouldn’t cut it. He played most of 2014 in Fresno but makes his final three major league appearances in July. He went 0-4.
2015 took him to Mexico and the Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz. After taking 2016 off, he played with the Bridgeport Blue Fish and New Britain Bees of the independent Atlantic League before calling it quits.
submitted by fortyfive33 to Dodgers [link] [comments]

NL East Preseason Predictions

Here are my preseason predictions for how the NL East will play out.
  1. Atlanta Braves (91-71)
The Braves are looking to win the division for the third consecutive year with largely the same lineup. The steady Freddie Freeman batted .298 last year with 38 home runs and 121 RBIs as he continues to put up incredible numbers year after year. Ronald Acuna is going into his second full season and will look to repeat what he was able to accomplish last year, when he nearly became the 5th player in MLB history to join the 40/40 club. He finished with a stat line of 40 home runs 37 stolen bases and 101 RBIs in 2019. Acuna will be looking to breakthrough and join that elusive club next year. Atlanta's pitching staff is led by Mike Soroka and Max Fried who are two young dominant starting pitchers. Mike Soroka finished with a record of 13-4, an ERA of 2.68, and a 4.0 WAR. Soroka will look to build off his incredible year and show people that he is and will be a legit ace for the Braves for years to come. Max Fried finished with a record of 17-6 and a 4.02 ERA. Another player to look out for the Braves is Austin Riley who came on the scene early in the season last year. Riley batted .226, hit 18 home runs, and drove in 49 runs in 2019. Riley will be looking to fill the void for Josh Donaldson who signed a monster deal with the Twins in the offseason after his incredible season with the Braves in which he hit 37 homers while driving in 94 runs. Every NL East team is lucky that Donaldson is not in the division anymore as he heads to the AL Central to play with Minnesota. A couple of key acquisitions the Braves made this offseason include outfielder Marcell Ozuna and starting pitcher Felix Hernandez AKA King Felix. Ozuna will help defensively for the braves with his cannon for an arm as well as playing solid all around defense. Ozuna's best season came in 2017 with the Cardinals, when he batted .312 with 37 long balls 124 RBIs and 93 runs scored. I think Ozuna will fit right in to this already stacked lineup.
  1. New York Mets (89-73)
The Mets, led by deGrom, Alonso, and Mcneil, will have the chance to be one of the best teams in the league this year. Syndergaard's injury is a huge blow to the mets rotation as they now look to Marcus Stroman to be their number two starter The Mets bullpen this offseason with the addition of Dellin Betances should make them one of if not the best bullpen in the majors. Yes, Diaz and Familia are question marks but can't be any worse than they were last year. If Diaz can get his slider back to its 2018 form when he was with the Mariners and Familia's sinker goes back to its 2016 form, the Mets bullpen will be in good shape. A couple of other guys that will play huge roles toward the Mets success out of the bullpen this year are Seth Lugo and Justin Wilson, who both pitched really for the Mets last year. Lugo finished with a 2.70 ERA, a WHIP of 0.90, and 104 strikeouts. Wilson finished with a 2.54 ERA and was an effective lefty specialist out of the bullpen for the Mets. Alonso will be looking to build off his Rookie of the Year campaign where he hit 53 home runs while driving in 120 runs and batting .260, while Jeff Mcneil looks to build off his All Star season where he hit 23 Home Runs and drove in 75 runs. Mcneil also batted .318 which is great production out of the leadoff spot for the Mets. New York is also expecting Yoenis Cespedes to return to the lineup this year. When healthy, Cespedes is a force to be reckoned with in the middle of the Mets lineup. The last time Cespedes played in 2017, he batted .292 with 17 home runs and 42 RBIs in an injury shortened season. All in all I believe the Mets will be a playoff team this year. Yes losing Syndergaard is a huge blow to the Mets and their pitching staff but I am really impressed with their young stars, in particular Alonso, Mcneil and Nimmo. Brandon Nimmo and Jeff McNeil are not only great hitters but there ability to take pitches out of the strike zone is what makes them special. This is why I think they will keep on improving and continue to be great contributors for this Mets team. Coming off of his Rookie of the year campaign and a rookie record 53 home runs with 120 rbi's Pete Alonso will look to build off his historic 2019. It will be hard for Pete Alonso to live up to what he did last year but the polar bear's ability to keep striving to be better is what makes him great. I presume that it will be a shortened season for the Major leagues but I still predict Polar Bear Pete to hit at least 40 home runs again and be much improved defensively as well. A couple of other reasons I think the Mets are a playoff team this season is because of Amed Rosario who is going into his 3rd full season and Yoenis Cespedes who is coming back from an ankle injury caused by an encounter with a wild boar. Rosario is looking to have a breakout season this year after coming on really strong during the second half of last season. In 2019 Rosario batted .287 with 15 home runs 72 rbi's and 19 stolen bases. I believe Rosario will be a huge contributor to this Mets club this year. Cespedes coming back from injury for the Mets would be a huge help. Adding Cespedes to an already deep Mets lineup makes this team special and is why I believe the Mets are a playoff team and have the ability to go deep into the playoffs.
  1. Washington Nationals (88-74)
The Nationals postseason run last year was one for the ages. Their big bats, Rendon and Soto carried them along with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball led by Scherzer and World Series MVP Stephen Strasburg. Rendon batted .328 in the postseason last year with 20 hits, 7 doubles, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs. Rendon also sported a .413 on base percentage. Soto was also incredible in the postseason, batting .277 in 17 games with an on base percentage of .373. Soto recorded 18 hits including 3 doubles, 5 home runs and 14 RBIs. This offseason, GM Mike Rizzo had a big decision to make, re-sign one of their best hitters in Anthony Rendon or re-sign the World Series MVP Stephen Strasburg. It's hard to argue with Rizzo's decision to go with Strasburg over Rendon, but losing a player like Rendon is a tough blow considering his role in Washington's World Series run. This decision also has the chance to hurt Soto, because teams will likely pitch around him more without that extra protection in the lineup. The Angels definitely got a good one in Rendon to pair with Trout. I am also somewhat concerned with how many innings Strasburg pitched in the postseason. In the regular season and postseason combined, Strasburg pitched in 209 innings including 55 in the postseason. Considering Strasburg's injury history, I do not believe that will not bode well for the Nationals this upcoming season. Ultimately, I believe the Nationals will be in the hunt for the postseason again, but I have them finishing in third because I am slightly more bullish on the Braves and Mets. I believe the Nationals will have a bit of a World Series hangover in 2020, similar to the Red Sox last year, but I would not be surprised one bit if they found their way back in the postseason next year.
  1. Philadelphia Phillies (86-76)
The Phillies made three huge splashes prior to the 2019 season. They signed Bryce Harper to a 13 year, $330 million deal, traded for All-Star catcher JT Realmuto, and signed Andrew McCutchen to a big contract worth $50 million over 3 years. Despite these high profile transactions, they did not live up to the hype, finishing 81-81 which was only good for 4th in the NL East. A lot of that disappointment can be attributed to their now former manager Gabe Kapler, who underachieved in 2 seasons as manager of the Phillies, finishing a combined 161-163 during his Phillies tenure. After the Phillies fired Kapler, he was hired by the Giants to replace soon to be Hall of Fame manager Bruce Bochy, who retired this offseason. In his first season of a 13 year deal, superstar Bryce Harper also somewhat underachieved when you consider his lofty standards. He still managed a batting average of .260, 35 home runs, and 114 RBIs in 2019. I believe there will be less pressure on Harper in year two which will lead to a much more successful season. A lot of his 2019 struggles can be attributed to thinking too much and getting in his own head, which led him to swing at bad pitches and strike out more often. Another player that will play a huge role in the Phillies success this year is Rhys Hoskins. He had a strong start to his career in 2018, but came crashing back down to Earth last season. He batted .226, with 29 home runs, and 85 RBIs but will be looking to have a bounce back season in 2020. A couple of key additions the Phillies made this offseason were shortstop Didi Gregorious and pitcher Zack Wheeler, who was signed to a huge 5 year, $118 million deal. Gregorious had a great career for the Yankees replacing Derek Jeter after he retired in 2014. His two best seasons came in 2017 and 2018. In 2017, he hit 25 home runs, drove in 87 runs, and batted .287 with an on base percentage of .318. In 2018, he batted .268 with an OBP of .335, 27 home runs and 86 RBIs. Zack Wheeler is also going into his first season with the Phillies. Last season for the Mets, he had an ERA of 3.96 with 11 wins and 8 losses. Wheeler recorded 195 strikeouts to only 50 walks and will be a key addition to the Phillies that already has Aaron Nola. In 2017, Nola was in the Cy Young race when he pitched to a 2.37 ERA with 17 wins and 6 losses. Nola also had a strikeout to walk ratio of 224/58, which is pretty incredible. Last year, Nola took a step back, finishing with an ERA of 3.87, a 12-7 record, and a strikeout to walk ratio in 2018 of 229/80. The Phillies success in 2020 will come down to how well their pitching matches up against teams like the Mets, Braves, and Nationals. That is going to be really tough for them and is why I have them finishing in 4th place.
  1. Miami Marlins (64-98)
The Marlins finished in last place the NL East last year once again, finishing with a record of 57-105. After gutting the team of all their superstars, including Stanton, Yelich, and Ozuna, the Marlins are looking for their young prospects who they got in those deals to start making an impact. The Marlins acquired Starlin Castro, along with prospects Jose Devers, and pitcher Jorge Guzman. Devers is a minor league shortstop who batted .322 in the minors last year, and the verdict is still out on Guzman. In 2018 Guzman pitched to a 4.03 ERA with an 0-9 record, but improved in 2019 with a 3.50 ERA with a 7-11 record in the minors. It is still hard to determine who won the Giancarlo Stanton trade yet because he has been sidelined for most of his tenure with the Yankees. This past offseason, the Marlins made some moves that could improve their team in 2020. They signed first baseman Jorge Aguilar formerly, of the Tampa Bay Rays. Aguilar batted .261 last year, but only had 92 at bats due to an injury shortened season. Aguilar's big year came in 2018 when he batted .274, with 35 home runs and 108 RBIs in only 492 plate appearances. The Marlins have a plethora of young players that are looking to contribute this year, including two young starting pitchers in Sandy Alcantara and Jordan Yamamoto. In 2018 Alcantara pitched to a 2-3 record with a 3.44 ERA in 6 appearances, and in 2019 he finished with a win/loss record of 6-14 and a 3.88 ERA in 32 appearances. 2019 was Yamamoto's first year in the big leagues, and he finished with a 4.46 ERA and a 4-5 record, while starting in 15 games. Yamamoto is still only 23 years old, and I believe he will show a lot of growth as he goes into his 2nd season with the Marlins and his 1st full season in the big leagues. Brian Anderson is a young third baseman who will give the Marlins a lot of hope for the future. He came up to the majors in 2017 and has marginally improved every season since, he could be in for a breakout season in 2020. The Marlins have some young, promising, up and coming players on their roster, but 2020 will likely be another rebuilding year in a strong NL East division.
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Stocks to Watch: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank, Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors

Stocks to Watch: Kotak Mahindra Bank, Yes Bank, Bajaj Auto, Tata Motors

https://preview.redd.it/rbxage77k1e41.jpg?width=743&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=58af7a9cf34d08ac579c70e8b7ed94166225186b
Kotak Mahindra Bank: The private sector lender will withdraw its writ petition against the RBI after a climbdown from the central bank on promoter shareholding caps. The RBI has in-principle accepted promoters voting rights in the bank to be capped to 20% of paid-up voting equity share capital until March 31, 2020.
Yes Bank: The private sector lender sold 15,66,909 equity shares, constituting 2.68 % of the paid-up share capital of SICAL Logistics Ltd in various tranches. Post sale, the shareholding of Yes Bank in SICAL Logistics has come down to 5.49%.
Bajaj Auto: Beating street estimates, the two-wheeler major reported 15% jump in net profit to ₹1,262 crore for the quarter ended December 31, driven by an improved operating margin. Also, Rahul Bajaj, will step down as the chairman and whole-time director of the company on 1 April.
Tata Motors: The auto major on Thursday posted a consolidated net profit of ₹1,755.88 crore for the third quarter ended December 31, 2019. Tata Motors Ltd had reported a net loss of ₹26,960.8 crore during the October -December period of 2018-19.
Dabur India: Fast moving consumer goods company Dabur India Ltd posted a 8.62% jump in consolidated net profit for the quarter ended December 31, at ₹398.87 crore up from ₹367.21 crore it posted in the year ago period.
Marico: Homegrown FMCG major Marico Ltd reported 11% year-on-year growth in its consolidated net profit at ₹272 crore for the third quarter ended December 31, 2019, aided by growth in international business.
Colgate-Palmolive: Fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) firm Colgate-Palmolive (India) Ltd posted a marginal increase of 3.6% in its net profit to ₹199.10 crore on the back of moderate sales during the quarter. Volume growth of the company, however, slipped to 2.3% as against 4% seen in the September quarter.
Bharti Infratel: Telecom infra firm Bharti Infratel reported a 23% on year rise in net profit at ₹799 crore for the third quarter this fiscal, owing to improved net additions in towers and co-locations.
IL&FS Transportation Network: The company has defaulted on interest payments worth over ₹3.5 crore on its Non-Convertible Debentures, It said in a filing with the exchanges.
Earnings: Hindustan Unilever, ITC, Vedanta will announce their earnings for the third quarter ended 31 December today.
Watch our Stock Market Target Calls Quality, Track sheet – Click Here or Subscribe us for Stock Market Trading >>>> Stock Cash Tips
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How Should the Mets Spend This Offseason? My Application for General Manager

Alright, Y'all ready for this? This is my application for Mets general manager. Omar, I hope you're reading this.

1. Projecting payroll

Mets had a payroll ending the season about ~$141 million. Surprisingly enough, of that $141 million, almost $50 million of it is coming off of the books - Devin Mesoraco ($13 million) is a free agent, Jerry Blevins ($7 million) is a free agent, A.J. Ramos ($9.2 million) is a free agent, etc. etc. David Wright is also leaving, freeing up 75% of his remaining contract value for re-investment, which comes out to about $11 million.
Let's also be a bunch of heartless bastards. Team history be damned, baseball is a business, and business is cold, cruel, and doesn't give a shit how many walk-off RBI you have.
That's right, Wilmer Flores and his arthritic knees are gone. Jorge Cantu, listed as one of Flores' most similar batters by Baseball Reference's similarity scores, made $3.5 million during his trip through arb with 4.0+ years of service time and made $6.0 million his next time through arb after hitting .289/.345/.443 through arb with 149 games played. Wilmer Flores is making $3.4 million after passing through arb with 4.0+ years of service time, hit .267/.319/.417 in 129 games this year. For his next trip, we'll be conservative and guess that he could expect to make $5.5 million, which is too much for a platoon-worthy first baseman, especially at a position where the Mets have multiple top or former top prospects and Jay Bruce. We're at $92.5 million, that drops to $90.5.
We'll also non-tender Travis d'Arnaud. There's nothing to be gained by giving him a contract this season as he recovers from Tommy John surgery, and he's a free agent in the year following. D'Arnaud was making $3.5 million, and historically, players have made about the same as they did in years that they missed completely, so we'll assume that d'Arnaud would not have received a raise if he went through arbitration. We're now down to $88.0 million.
Rafael Montero is also due for a trip through arbitration. He was making just ~$500k, but given the fact that the Mets' are probably better off pitching Corey Oswalt instead of Montero for the foreseeable future and he's still rehabbing from Tommy John surgery, the Mets will likely not miss Montero, who has a career 5.38 ERA. We're now at $87.5M.
That seems absurdly low. The Mets are freeing up ~$63 this year after giving multiple year contracts to free agents this offseason? Technically, yes. But there's an awful big "but" here (heh heh, big butts) - arbitration for players. Even after non-tendering d'Arnaud, Flores, and Montero, the Mets still have to give out contracts to some of their best players:
I estimated the arbitration raises based on players with similar histories, at similar positions, coming off of similar seasons, and listed them here.
Name 2019 Contracts (Millions USD) Arb Comparison
Yoenis Cespedes 29
Jay Bruce 14
Juan Lagares 9
Todd Frazier 9
Jason Vargas 8
Anthony Swarzak 8.5
Jacob deGrom 12.4 Jake Arrieta, 2015
Noah Syndergaard 6.5 Stephen Strasburg, 2014
Zack Wheeler 5.4 Carlos Carrasco 2016
Michael Conforto 3.4 Kole Calhoun, 2015
Steven Matz 2.7 Drew Smyly, 2014
Seth Lugo 0.6
Robert Gsellman 0.6
Kevin Plawecki 1.5 Christian Vazquez, 2017
T.J. Rivera 0.6
Brandon Nimmo 0.6
Phillip Evans 0.6
Paul Sewald 0.6
Amed Rosario 0.6
Jacob Rhame 0.6
Jenrry Mejia (Who Fucking Knows?)
Total ~114
Mets opening day payroll was $150 million last season. Let's assume daddy Jeff will be generous and not slash out payroll after a losing season (again) and $150 million is our hard cap. We'll also assume that the Mets will not be reinvesting any money from insurance from Yoenis Cespedes' contract into the team payroll (the Mets did not reinvest Wright's insurance money as well, and given that there is a larger probability of Cespedes returning for significant time this season than there was for Wright last season, they will likely be hesitant to do so as well).
We'll also assume that the Mets will not trade for any players. Is that a realistic assumption? No. But it's tricky to predict what players are truly available and what prospects the Mets would be willing to move. As a fan, I have no idea what is realistic and what is not with regards to how teams feel about holding onto players under contracts, and it's essentially useless to speculate.
Thus, we will improve the team only either A) from within, or B) from the 2018-2019 class of free agents. The same caveat with trading holds true with regards to free agents - maybe someone won't want to sign with the Mets because they don't like the public school system - but in general, we can assume that if the Mets throw a comparably large contract at a player, they will come to the Mets. In an effort to maintain an air of realism, in discussing free agent contracts, I will list previous free agent contracts by similar free agents and adjust for inflation as necessary.
Alright, we have $36 million to play around with, let's get playing!

2. Building the roster from within

The natural next step is to establish what positions need to be filled. It might behoove the Mets to go out and grab Bryce Harper this offseason, but at the same time, the Mets already have Michael Conforto, Brandon Nimmo, Jay Bruce, Yoenis Cespedes, Juan Lagares, and Dominic Smith as outfielders that they have discussed as possibilities in 2019 (Cespedes obviously on the fringes). Hence, it makes little sense to improve on an outfield that already has shown itself capable of a fairly high level of production when there are other positions solely lacking on the team.
In order to estimate the Mets' 2019 team talent level, I will use the Marcel WAR projections as a rough guide for WAR (Wins Above Replacement) estimations. WAR calculates how many wins individual players' performance provides over that of a replacement level player - essentially, if you put together a team of replacement level players, you would expect them to win 48-ish games, and if you replaced one player on that team with Mike Trout, who is usually worth 10 WAR, you'd expect them to win about 57-ish games (usually). WAR correlates quite well to team wins - about 75% correlation, so we'll try to make as good a team for ourselves as possible by acquiring WAR via free agency and by looking at the team as is.
Marcel projections are quite conservative with estimating WAR, so please don't take what it says as gospel - there's usually some room for improvement from individual players. There are better methods of estimating WAR moving forward, but they take substantially more time to compile an estimate. Marcel WAR projections are nice because they are harshly realistic - they are more a worst-case-scenario than best-case scenario, but they are more realistic than the worst-case scenario. For example, the odds of Jacob deGrom following up one 8 WAR season with another are incredibly slim. The odds of deGrom following up one 8 WAR season with a 5 WAR season are actually quite good. You will undoubtedly complain about the figures presented here, in terms of rate production, play time, or some combination of the two - just know that the figures are created algorithmically, based in real baseball data, and intentionally conservative.
Note that for the purposes of this exercise, we will be using FanGraphs WAR or (fWAR). If you see "WAR", it is referring to projected WAR by Marcel, derived from fWAR. If you see "fWAR", it is referring to historical WAR stats from FanGraphs.
I will also assume that Yoenis Cespedes is out for the entire season. The Mets have indicated that they will prepare as though that is the case, and so I will prepare that way as well. If Cespedes does come back, anything we get from him is simply gravy.
Initial Rolling Wins Count: 48.1

Starting Rotation

  1. Jacob deGrom (5.4 WAR)
  2. Noah Syndergaard (2.9 WAR)
  3. Zack Wheeler (2.5 WAR)
  4. Seth Lugo (1.2 WAR)
  5. Steven Matz (0.9 WAR)
  6. Jason Vargas (0.0 WAR)
  7. Corey Oswalt (0.0 WAR)
Total: 12.9 WAR
The first three spots in the Mets' starting rotation are obvious: there is not a single reason not to roll with deGrom, Syndergaard, and Wheeler next season. They are proven aces. Both Wheeler and Syndergaard have rather conservative projections, though I think deGrom's projection seems pretty spot-on.
The back end of the rotation is designed to eat up as many innings possible, and value that they provide is basically gravy - Vargas, Oswalt, and Lugo did their jobs eating up innings in the second half, and I don't think it's out of the ordinary to expect them to provide that same value down the stretch. Even though Lugo was a reliever for most of the season, the Mets indicated that Lugo will enter the offseason and train as a starter: as one of the Mets' best options for starter, I would expect him to shove Vargas/Oswalt to spot-starting/relief duty.
The projection for Lugo is underestimated a bit in my opinion, but Matz, Vargas, and Oswalt's seem fine. Mets starters recorded 16.6 fWAR this season, so with some generous estimates, we are already within the margin of error for last season's production. There is certainly room for improvement with regards to individual seasons, and the Mets might be able to scrape and addition 3-4 more wins out of Wheeler, Syndergaard, and Lugo.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 61.0

Bullpen

Total: 2.7 WAR
The bullpen was the Mets' undoing during the season - only the Marlins and Royals recorded worse ERAs from their bullpens. This wasn't helped by losing Jeurys Familia to a trade midseason - Familia, undoubtedly the single best reliever produced by the Mets in the past decade, was one of the biggest assets of the pen and in his absence, it suffered.
It's natural that there are quite conservative projections for all of the Mets' young relievers: WAR underrates relievers by virtue of them throwing so few innings during the season and largely ignores their context-dependent value (i.e. coming into high leverage situations and recording outs). Still, that Gsellman, projected for less than 1 WAR, is the Mets' best reliever, is an indictment that there is still some work to do here.
In addition to Swarzak/Gsellman, who will almost assuredly be in the bullpen in 2019, I have listed a number of Mets relievers who are particularly promising who spent time with the MLB club this season. Wahl had ridiculous K/9 numbers in the minor leagues this season, Rhame has shown flashes of brilliance with his fastball, etc. I do not expect this to be the concrete, solid bullpen, and any of these players can make or break their cases during spring training or during the early going in the season - as I expect to bring in free agent talent to reinforce the bullpen, I would assume that fringe-y relievers like them would be forced off the roster. Still, most of the projections assume replacement level production for these relievers, which is not a bad estimate for how the Mets' bullpen currently looks.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 63.7

First Base

  1. Dominic Smith (0.3 WAR)
  2. Peter Alonso (0.6 WAR)
  3. Jay Bruce (0.5 WAR)
Total: 1.4 WAR
I might get some flack here for putting Smith atop the first base depth chart here as opposed to the prodigal son, Peter Alonso. Smith has struggled this season and last season, it's true! But Smith has also demonstrated considerably above average exit velocity, and with an increased fly ball rate, Smith hit .275/.306/.536 in the second half, albeit in just 72 plate appearances. Still, Smith demonstrated considerable improvement despite being unceremoniously shoved out of play time at first base. While I don't expect Smith to continue his torrid pace into next season, he has demonstrated that he can hit big league pitching, and he's tangibly adjusted and improved from 2017.
But Peter Alonso has arguably as great a claim to 1B as Smith - leading the minors in home runs and raking at every level screams that he's ready for a call-up. Still, the Mets don't feel as though he's ready defensively (as bullshit as that claim might be w.r.t. service time manipulation). Should Smith struggle again early in 2019, or should an outfielder go down to injury and Smith moves to the outfield, I fully expect Alonso to come up and rake, to the tune of minimum 2 WA600 PA. But if Smith goes down, I expect the Mets to first try to give Bruce the majority of plate appearances here initially and move Lagares into a full-time role in the outfield.
But we don't know if or when any of that happens. For right now, first base is in quite a degree of flux, and it has to be played by ear.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 65.1

Second Base

  1. Jeff McNeil (1.5 WAR)
  2. Luis Guillorme (0.4 WAR)
Total: 1.9 WAR
McNeil was nothing short of a revelation at second base this year - 2.6 fWAR in 248 PA works out to a 6.3 fWA600 pace, fringe MVP level. I can't say that I'm bullish on such a torrid pace of production continuing, but at the very least, McNeil's floor looks like .270/.330/.400 with good defense at second, essentially pre-breakout Daniel Murphy with a better glove. That alone is worth about 2-3 WAR, so again, there is room for improvement with the Marcel projection.
I expect Luis Guillorme to be the Mets' primary utility infielder this season. Guillorme can play stellar defense at 3B, SS, and 2B, and he can hit better than Jose Reyes (and, more importantly, and arguably a greater feat, well enough to be a utility infieldepinch hittepinch runner). I don't know how Guillorme's bat will develop, but if he turns out to simply be a scrappy singles hitter, I have no qualms about using him as a defensive sub or backup infielder.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 67.0

Shortstop

  1. Amed Rosario (1.5 WAR)
  2. Luis Guillorme (0.4 WAR)*
Total: 1.5 WAR
Amed finally started showing signs of his star potential in 2018 - despite a weak first half, Amed hit .284/.318/.413 in the last two months of the season (239 PA) and stole 15 bases while his strikeout rate dropped dramatically from 2017. Rosario doesn't need to be Francisco Lindor with the bat, he just needs to be an average bat with plus defense and speed to be a truly valuable player to the Mets, ala pre-breakout Andrelton Simmons. I expect Rosario to beat his projection by about 1-2 WAR based on his second-half improvements.
*Note that the WAR projections are for the full season across all positions - they are not double counted. If a player shows up elsewhere on the depth chart, their WAR has already been counted.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 68.5

Third Base

  1. Todd Frazier (1.4 WAR)
  2. Luis Guillorme (0.4 WAR)*
Todd Frazier took a big step backward this year. After his slugging and average slipped in 2016, Frazier compensated by walking at an increased rate, posting the 6th highest BB% in the MLB in 2017 and the highest OBP of his career. Unfortunately for Frazier, his walk rate dropped back to his career average and his power slipped even further, as Frazier (who missed significant time to injury) posted the worst wRC+ of his career. Still, Frazier profiles well as a defender at the hot corner: Frazier is 5th among qualified 3B since 2013 in UZR and 6th in DRS. Frazier's concerns at the plate will continue into next season, but at the very least, Frazier's glove is reliable.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 69.9

Catcher

We've already beaten the Mets' 2017 win total and we're not even out of the infield! The team is promising so far.
  1. Kevin Plawecki (0.7 WAR)
  2. Tomas Nido (0.3 WAR)
Kevin Plawecki got a surprising amount of plate appearances in 2018, thanks to injuries to Devin Mesoraco and Travis d'Arnaud. He tried to make the most of his limited time at the plate, posting a .210/.315/.370 slash with a 93 wRC+ in 277 PA - slightly better than the average catcher in 2018 (.232/.304/.372, 82 wRC+). But Plawecki's profile belies some weaknesses - Plawecki hit ground balls at a 47% rate and pulled 62% of those ground balls - many of them right to the third baseman or shortstops. Plawecki runs about an average BABIP on pulled ground balls (which is generally around .200 for right-handed hitters) and fails to produce a lot of power. I don't buy into Plawecki's 2018 very much.
Meanwhile, Tomas Nido took major steps backward from his AA batting title in 2017 - despite moving to hitter-friendly Las Vegas, Nido slashed just .235/.316/.353 and fared even worse in the majors. Still, Nido might yet be the better catching option than Plawecki - Nido received credit for 2.5 Framing Runs Above Average Adjusted (fRAA Adj) in just 1.3k framing chances. Extrapolated out to 5k chances, that puts Nido at around 9.0 fRAA Adj, one of the best figures in the majors. Plawecki finished with just -0.6 in 4k chances.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 70.9

Right Field

  1. Jay Bruce (0.5 WAR)*
  2. Juan Lagares (0.7 WAR)
I would prefer to give Bruce the bulk of playing time entering the season in right field. Yes, Bruce has the range of Stephen Hawking, and yes, he has the arm of Olivia Wright. But at the very least, Bruce found his power stroke against fastballs this season and wrecked shop down the stretch, to the tune of .243/.344/.467 in the second half. Bruce still has some swing mechanic kinks to work out, kinks that were exposed in the second half, but at the very least he's not a bad option for right field.
Meanwhile, Juan Lagares seems healthy again after tearing a ligament in his toe. As good as Lagares looked in last year's spring training, and as good as his consistent defense has been, the Mets would be best served by using Lagares as their fourth outfielder and a late-game defensive replacement: Lagares has neither hit nor run well enough for his career (.260/.300/.367, 40 SB - 16 CS) for me to say that he's worthy of and deserving a starting spot - nevermind how frequently Lagares has been injured in his career. Putting Lagares as a fourth outfielder gives the Mets a decent pinch-hitting bat, a good pinch-runner, and a stellar defender for late-game. If the Mets have the lead in the 7th/8th, Lagares can pinch-hit, then move to centerfield as Brandon Nimmo moves to right field and Jay Bruce comes out of the game.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 71.6

Center Field

  1. Brandon Nimmo (2.9 WAR)
  2. Juan Lagares (0.7 WAR)*
Brandon Nimmo. What can I say about Brandon Nimmo? Sandy Alderson joked that the Mets didn't want to trade for Giancarlo Stanton because they already had Nimmo, and Nimmo rewarded that confidence by outhitting Stanton, .263/.404/.483 with a 149 wRC+ to .266/.343/.509 with a 127 wRC+. Nimmo has elite plate discipline, knows how to get plunked, and displayed prodigious power and speed. 2016 Christian Yelich is an excellent comp for Nimmo, and it's a very favorable one. Nimmo's speed should make him an adequate if unspectacular center fielder, but even if he struggles in the field, he'll make up for it at the plate. Even though I expect Nimmo's power to drop a bit next season from regression, I think he's an integral part of the Mets' lineup and its future.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 74.5

Left Field

  1. Michael Conforto (3.0 WAR)
  2. Juan Lagares (0.7 WAR)*
  3. Dominic Smith (0.3 WAR)*
I was understandably bullish on Conforto going into the 2018 season - he had just capped off one of the best seasons by a Mets hitter ever, albeit one abbreviated by injury. That injury appeared to carry into the season, as Conforto hit just .216/.344/.366 - which was still promising, as while the power wasn't there, the walks certainly were. In the second half, however, Conforto looked like himself again: .273/.356/.539 with a 143 wRC+. Conforto brings to the mix a combination of elite discipline and 75-grade game power. There is no better hitter on the Mets, and there probably has not been a better hitter on the Mets since the heyday of David Wright and Carlos Beltran (Beltran's 2007 season: .276/.353/.525). Conforto's projection is hampered by injury, but make no mistake: if Conforto is healthy, 40 HR is not out of the question, and he'll blow past the 3 WAR projection with ease.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 77.5

Final 25 Man Roster:

Player Count Player Positions Projected WAR
1 Jacob deGrom SP 5.4
2 Michael Conforto CF/LF 3.0
3 Noah Syndergaard SP 2.9
4 Brandon Nimmo CF/RF 2.9
5 Zack Wheeler SP 2.5
6 Jeff McNeil 2B 1.5
7 Amed Rosario SS 1.5
8 Todd Frazier 3B 1.4
9 Seth Lugo SP 1.2
10 Steven Matz SP/RP 0.9
11 Robert Gsellman SP/RP 0.8
12 Kevin Plawecki C 0.7
13 Juan Lagares RF/CF/LF 0.7
* Peter Alonso 1B 0.6
14 Daniel Zamora RP 0.5
15 Jay Bruce 1B/RF 0.5
16 Tyler Bashlor RP 0.4
17 Jacob Rhame RP 0.4
18 Luis Guillorme 2B/SS/3B 0.4
19 Paul Sewald RP 0.3
20 Bobby Wahl RP 0.3
21 Dominic Smith 1B/LF 0.3
22 Tomas Nido C 0.3
23 Jason Vargas SP/RP 0.0
24 Corey Oswalt SP/RP 0.0
25 Anthony Swarzak RP 0.0
Total 29.7
Let's immediately allay some of those fears about the low projections by comparing the projected 2019 Mets to the 2018 Mets - with essentially the same team, some regression, and some improvement all mixed in, this team comes out with just one win more than the 2018 Mets. This helps verify our WAR estimates - if the same team played two back-to-back seasons, as long as there's a mix of young players and old players, you would expect them to perform roughly the same. Obviously, there's room for improvement, some breakout potential, etc., but you can't go into a season expecting to contend by relying on breakout potential. Most of the time, it doesn't happen, and you're left underprepared.
Now that we know what the starting point of our roster looks like, we can begin to make some improvements.

3. Free Agency Acquisitions

The Mets' current payroll with the above roster is about $114.8 million, and our hard cap is about $150 million - which leaves the Mets with $36 million of breathing room to improve the team as much as possible. Playing around in free agency, let's see how much we can accomplish.
For the purposes of this exercise, I will provide a most-similar comparison (as I did in arbitration projections) for the contracts that I would expect to sign the following players. These contracts might not be indicative of the real contracts players sign, as there are other factors, such as demand from other teams (i.e. Mark Teixeira in 2008) or discounts to play close to home and other market factors (Todd Frazier in 2017). But free agent contracts tend to follow the $/WAR framework quite well, so these contracts will largely be based around the framework and a most similar free agent deal.
Initial Rolling Payroll Count: 114 million

C Yasmani Grandal (2.6 WAR) - $60 million/4 years

(Most similar contract - Brian McCann, $85 million/5 in 2014)

Yasmani Grandal has quietly been one of the most valuable catchers in the league, if not the most valuable. Since 2014, Grandal has played in the 5th most games, posted the 3rd best wRC+, and recorded the 4th best WAR in that time span. But of similar important is Grandal's framing: according to Baseball Prospectus, Grandal has accumulated 108.4 fRAA Adj. since 2014, never finishing any lower than 4th in the MLB in any season since 2015. fWAR, the flavor of WAR we are using to measure players, does not incorporate framing runs, but by BP's measure, Grandal has been worth ~1.5-3.0 extra for almost every full season that he's played.
Every part of Grandal - his durability, his defense, and his bat - represent a substantial upgrade over Plawecki. In terms of net overall value, by most public metrics, Grandal is squarely one of the best free agents on the market. I expect there to be numerous suitors for Grandals' services, especially as the Red Sox might look to upgrade over their current catching platoon of Christian Vazquez and Sandy Leon, which was assuredly their biggest weakness in 2018.
Thus, I expect to give Grandal a $60 million contract for 4 years, a competitive deal above what $/WAR for position players has been historically (about $6 million/WAR using Marcel projections, by my measures). Grandals' contract and production break down as follows:
Year Age Projected WAR Contract (Millions USD)
2019 30 2.6 *$10 *
2020 31 2.1 *$15 *
2021 32 1.7 *$15 *
2022 33 1.1 *$20 *
Again, WAR is underrating Grandal's true value with regards to his framing ability, as fWAR does not incorporate framing runs.
As a result of signing Grandal, I would expect Grandal to be the Mets' primary catcher, with Plawecki dropped to back-up. This allows Nido to go down to AAA and work on his hitting in a slightly-less-insane environment, and possibly develop into a trade asset.
Thus, Nido's 0.3 WAR drops off of our roster, and is replaced by Grandal's 2.6, and Nido's $0.6 million salary is replaced by Grandal's $10 million.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 80.1
Rolling Payroll Count: $124.6 million

RP David Robertson (0.9 WAR) - $45 million/3 years

(Most similar contract - Wade Davis, $52 million/3 years in 2017)

David Robertson is everything that a closer should be: reliable (in terms of shut downs - increasing your teams' odds of winning by 6%+ in an outing - versus meltdowns - decreasing your teams' odds of winning by the same amount - Robertson has a 3.5:1 ratio, better than Jeurys Familia), durable (Robertson has thrown 60+ innings in relief in nine consecutive seasons), and has brilliant strikeout numbers (11.97 K/9).
The problem? Robertson has rarely been a closer in his career, because he's played for the Yankees for most of his career - whether it's living in the shadow of Mariano Rivera or Aroldis Chapman, Robertson has quietly and consistently been a superb reliever. If the Mets want to improve at the top of their bullpen, Robertson's quiet excellence represents a substantial improvement.
Robertson's career and continued excellence resembles the career of Wade Davis', who signed the largest FA contract for a reliever last season in a year where big contracts went flying. Giving that relievers have been overpaid relative to recent years in both 2016 and 2017, we should expect the same trend to continue in the 2018 offseason. Robertson's contract and production breaks down as follows:
Year Age Projected WAR Contract (Millions USD)
2019 34 0.8 *$15 *
2020 35 0.1 *$15 *
2021 36 0.0 *$15 *
Our projected WAR paints a harsh picture of Robertson's projected future performance, but relief pitchers tend to age quite well. Given that Robertson has been consistently healthy and effectively, we might expect Robertson to outperform those projections. Furthermore, good relief pitching allows teams to outperform their run differential and WAR totals, as they win close games more often.
As a result of signing Robertson, I would expect Robertson to be the Mets' main closer, and move Bobby Wahl down off the roster. Thus, Wahl's 0.3 WAR this season is replaced by Robertson's 0.8, and Wahl's $0.6 million salary is replaced by Robertson's $15 million.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 80.6
Rolling Payroll Count: $139.6 million

RP Adam Ottavino (0.7 WAR) - $12 million/2 years

(Most similar contract - Anthony Swarzak, $14 million/2 years in 2017)

Adam Ottavino has been a superb success story for the Rockies this season. Ottavino redeveloped himself and dramatically and tangibly improved his strikeout and walk rates practicing in a Mannhattan storefront in the 2017 offseason. Since Ottavino is a New York City native and currently lives there in the offseason, it makes sense that the Mets would target one of the breakout free agents of the 2018 season with some ties to NYC.
Ottavino's superb 2018 season showcased improved control and reduced walk rates, and his FIP dropped dramatically. A 2.43 ERA at Coors Field is also nothing to sneeze at. Like Anthony Swarzak, who had a late breakout in his free agent season, it makes sense that the Mets could target a veteran reliever who has made some tangible improvements (and I know that y'all don't exactly have the highest opinion of Swarzak right now, but bear with me!). Here is how Ottavino's projected production and contract breaks down.
Year Age Projected WAR Contract (Millions USD)
2019 33 0.7 *$5 *
2020 24 0.0 *$7 *
Again, these are quite conservative projections because the Marcel WAR projection system tends to be agressive in regressing breakout season regardless of peripherals. Ottavino will be a capable setup man and back-up closer for the Mets.
As a result of the Mets' signing of Ottavino, I would expect Jacob Rhame to fall off the roster. Rhame's 0.4 WAR and $0.6 million would be replaced by Ottavino's 0.7 WAR and $5 million.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 80.9
Rolling Payroll Count: $144.6 million

RP Oliver Perez (0.0 WAR) - $3 million/1 year

(Most similar contract - Joe Blanton, $4 million/1 year in 2016)

Old friend alert! Oliver Perez has bounced around from team-to-team after leaving the Mets, eventually hanging in the league as a serviceable LOOGY for the Nationals and Diamondbacks. But this season, Perez has been superb against both lefties and righties, allowing a .213 wOBA against lefties and .138 against righties.
Perez will be 38 next season, and breakout performances at such ages generally don't continue - hence, Marcel is very harsh on Perez's projected performance. But at the very least, Perez's peripherals have improved dramatically - Perez has just a 1.74 FIP this season, one of the best figures in the MLB. Even if Perez's home run rate comes back down to earth, he still looks like he could be a servicable LOOGY or middle-reliever.
As a result of the Mets signing Perez, I would expect Tyler Bashlor to fall off the roster. Bashlor's 0.4 WAR and $0.6 million would be replaced by Perez's 0.0 WAR and $3 million.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 80.5
Rolling Payroll Count: $147.6 million

RP Brad Brach (0.4 WAR) - $5 million/1 year

(Most similar contract - Boone Logan, $5.5 million/1 year)

Brad Brach has always played second fiddle to Zack Britton on the Orioles for most of his career, but Brach has had a solid career: 3.08 ERA, 3.68 FIP across 456.0 IP. Brach's peripherals took a bit of a hit this year, and he doesn't look like he'll quite recapture his 2016 form where he threw 79 innings with a 2.05 ERA, he still profiles as a solid, veteran reliever who might come cheap.
As a result of the Mets signing Brach, I would expect Corey Oswalt to fall off the roster. Oswalt's 0.0 WAR and $0.6 million would be replaced by Brach's 0.4 WAR and $5 million.
Rolling Projected Wins Count: 80.9
Rolling Projected Payroll Count: 152.6 million

4. Conclusion And Notes

Here is our final roster and payroll after signing our free agents. New acquisitions are in bold.
Player Count Player Positions Projected WAR Cost
1 Jacob deGrom SP 5.4 *$12.4 *
2 Michael Conforto CF/LF 3 *$3.4 *
3 Noah Syndergaard SP 2.9 *$6.5 *
4 Brandon Nimmo CF/RF 2.9 *$0.6 *
5 Yasmani Grandal C 2.6 *$10.0 *
6 Zack Wheeler SP 2.5 *$5.4 *
7 Jeff McNeil 2B 1.5 *$0.6 *
8 Amed Rosario SS 1.5 *$0.6 *
9 Todd Frazier 3B 1.4 *$9.0 *
10 Seth Lugo SP 1.2 *$0.6 *
11 Steven Matz SP/RP 0.9 *$2.7 *
12 David Robertson RP 0.9 *$15.0 *
13 Robert Gsellman SP/RP 0.8 *$0.6 *
14 Kevin Plawecki C 0.7 *$1.5 *
15 Juan Lagares RF/CF/LF 0.7 *$9.0 *
16 Adam Ottavino RP 0.7 *$5.0 *
* Peter Alonso 1B 0.6
17 Daniel Zamora RP 0.5 *$0.6 *
18 Jay Bruce 1B/RF 0.5 *$14.0 *
19 Luis Guillorme 2B/SS/3B 0.4 *$0.6 *
20 Brad Brach RP 0.4 *$5.0 *
21 Paul Sewald RP 0.3 *$0.6 *
22 Dominic Smith 1B/LF 0.3 *$0.6 *
23 Oliver Perez RP 0 *$3.0 *
24 Jason Vargas SP/RP 0 *$8.0 *
25 Anthony Swarzak RP 0 *$8.5 *
* Yoenis Cespedes LF 0 *$29.0 *
32.6 *$152.8 *
On the surface, it appears as though the Mets have improved by about 3 wins to be simply an 81-81 team. However, note that many of the moves that we have made are underrated by WAR:
Based on our WAR estimates, Grandal's framing numbers, and squinting really hard, I would expect the above roster to win a minimum of ~82 games, an average of ~85 games, and a max of ~90 games. If the Mets wish to make any midseason acquisitions to improve their playoff odds, that flexibility exists as well.
Again, this team would have to rely quite a bit on their young stars breaking out (or, in McNeil's case - continue that breakout) if they wished to contend for the division or even the wildcard. Still, this is a competitive team, and most of its biggest needs have been addressed while payroll has remained largely constant.

5. But one more thing...

Still, a hard payroll cap of $150 million is quite limiting. Yes, the Athletics made the playoffs with an opening day payroll of just $60 million - with Khris Davis the only player making double digits on their roster, and all of their really good players (Chapman, Olson, Manaea, Treinen, Trivino) in pre-arb or early arb. The Dodgers, Cubs, and Nationals all operated this season with a $180+ million payroll successfully. Good talent does not come cheap, and sometimes teams must up their payroll to keep their core together and compete.
That is especially true this offseason, when the Mets have a chance to improve on their production at a place that has been the cornerstone of their franchise for the past decade. He will not come cheap, but as a generational talent, it would behove the Mets to go above and beyond their limited payroll to upgrade here. Who am I talking about? That's right, I'm talking about...

3B Josh Donaldson (2.2 WAR) - $80 million/3 years

(Most similar contract - ???)

(You totally thought I was going to talk about Manny Machado, didn't you!)
Let's keep playing the "Mets are cheapskates" game. Let's ignore Machado. Machado is also a generational talent who is hitting the market at age 26, and he'll easily make $200+ million. The Mets might feel allergic to such large deals, especially after Wright and Cespedes' contracts blew up in their faces (they shouldn't be, and Machado will be worth every penny, but I'm being realistic here).
Donaldson is also a generational talent. From 2013 to 2017, here are the MLB fWAR leaders.
  1. Mike Trout - 44.2 fWAR
  2. Josh Donaldson - 34.3 fWAR
  3. Paul Goldschmidt - 27.7 fWAR
  4. Andrew McCutchen - 26.2 fWAR
  5. Joey Votto - 25.5 fWAR
It's very easy to forget that in the shadow of Trout, himself on the path to becoming the greatest player of all-time, Donaldson himself was still very much apart from the rest of the league.
And then 2018 happened. Donaldson played much of the first half while injured, and his performance suffered. His exit velocity dropped. He missed several months. He got traded! 2018 essentially shot his WAR projection to hell.
But that's precisely why the Mets should target Donaldson. For starters, while his rate stats suffered in 2018, he was playing while injured, and his average exit velocity (89.7 MPH in the first half) rebounded when he was healthy in the second half (91.3 MPH). Donaldson looked really healthy and productive with the Indians!
Donaldson missed significant time with injury in both 2017 and 2018, and that, coupled with his age, is driving his value down. That makes him a perfect buy for the Mets: Donaldson can carry a team as an MVP quality talent when he's healthy and man the hot-corner well. In the event that he's not healthy, Todd Frazier is more than capable of starting, and Frazier could move into a utility role when Donaldson is on the roster.
If healthy, Donaldson could easily put up 4-5 WAR in 2018. He's a right handed bat that helps balance out the lefty-heavy lineup. He represents a substantial upgrade. And, most importantly for the value-hungry Mets - Donaldson will be much cheaper than Machado (nevermind the fact that Donaldson has no stated public preference to playing shortstop instead).
I actually have no idea what a Donaldson contract might look like: I can't think of a player of Donaldson's caliber entering a contract season after such a lost season thanks to injury, so estimating Donaldson's contract is difficult, and I won't claim to have done it remotely accurately. But at the very least, Donaldson will cost less than Machado, require less of a long term comitment - and require the Mets to expand their payroll. That's the point of asking the Mets to sign Donaldson on top of all this: Donaldson is a keystone acquisition that takes the Mets from the fringes of the playoff scene in 2019 to squarely in the middle. Donaldson, with the above roster changes, puts the Mets squarely in the picture for playing for the division, and their payroll would be somewhere along the lines of $170-$180 ish million, about what the Nationals, Cubs, and Dodgers were projected to spend in 2018 on opening day. The reality is that the Mets cannot complement and keep their existing core while refusing to expand payroll to reach contention - they expand if they're serious.
If the Mets want to make enough of an effort where they can luck into a divisional title or wild card slot again, as they did in 2015 and 2016, then they don't have to break the bank. But the Mets have a talented young core. They have one of the best pitchers in the national league. They have some of the best hitters in the national league. They have multiple pre-arb players who, in the 2018 second half, demonstrated that they can be valuable contributers. There is no reason not to spend on this team if you want to bring a title home. The Mets do not have multiple pre-arb rookies like the Athletics or Yankees, they must spend like the Dodgers or Cubs if they want to succeed.
So Omar, if you're reading this: C'mon. Make it happen. ;)
submitted by Metlover to NewYorkMets [link] [comments]

I know the trade deadline has passed, but would you trade Blackmon for LAA Kole Calhoun?

As you read this keep in mind this is strictly about making a better roster and not about marketing sales, loyalty, how much we love Charlie, etc. Only about improving our team on the field.
This year Calhoun, age 31, in 108 games has 92 hits, 25 HR, 59 RBI and a slash line of .232/.317.480. He has 1.9 bWAR so far this season. In his 8-year career he has 15.5 bWAR, 848 H, 132 HR, .250 BA.
After the 2019 season concludes, Calhoun (who plays RF) will have one year remaining with the Angels at $14M. However, the Halos’ top prospect OF Jo Adell is likely to see a decent amount of MLB action next season and many Angels fans expect the club to exercise their $1M buyout and let Calhoun become a FA, then either let Calhoun walk away or try to re-sign him for less.
Let’s look at the rest of their outfield corps: - Trout: not going anywhere - Justin Upton: signed through 2022 for a LOT of money. He missed a lot of the early season due to a toe injury, but in his 34 games this season he’s slashed .213/.303/.393 for a -0.2 bWAR. He’s extremely streaky too. Not good. Avoid at all costs. - Brian Goodwin: Age 28. In 92 games he’s slashed .287/.339/.489 for 78 hits, 10 HR, and 31 RBI for a 1.1 bWAR. Not bad. He’s making the league minimum this year and will be a FA after 2019, so he’s also a possibility.
With Trout and Upton locked up, the Angels are left considering what they’re going to do with Calhoun, Goodwin, and Adell. Some fans want to see Upton play DH more next season, as Ohtani will be pitching again and won’t be the daily DH anymore. This leaves ~1.5 OF spots up for grabs. If I were Billy Eppler I’d try to re-sign Goodwin and get another cheap FA outfielder (unless they decide to call up Adell full-time). Buying out Calhoun frees up money the Angels desperately need to fix their rotation. This is Scenario 1, letting Calhoun walk.
Or, Eppler doesn’t use the buyout and Calhoun stays. The Angels keep swapping out Upton in LF with either Goodwin, a different FA, or maybe Adell. At Pipeline’s No. 4 prospect Adell might be MLB ready by next March, but the Angels might also keep him down another year to try to extend their “window” (being very generous here). This is Scenario 2, keeping the current contract.
I don’t think that is likely though. The rule of thumb is one WAR = $8M in FA money, meaning at $14M Calhoun’s contract is pretty on par. So trying to re-sign him could backfire, as he could theoretically get the same pay or better with a different team with much better WS odds, such as division rival Oakland. But, he may decide to accept less money if he’s convinced the Angels have a good shot. So this is the very unlikely Scenario 3, Calhoun re-signs for less.
Where does Chuck come into this??? you are probably thinking. Here we go.
In 94 games this season Charlie has 130 H, 23 HR, 64 RBI, and a .323/.370/.600 slash line. He’s clearly better than Calhoun; he’s in a higher tier of players by a wide margin. But at 1.6 bWAR, he’s somehow worse than Kole. The answer is Charlie is an okay to bad defensive player. His offensive WAR is 2.5 but defensively he sports -1.2. Calhoun meanwhile is 1.6 offensively with a neutral 0.0 defensive stat. If you’re looking at the whole player, which one seems better right now?
Consider the affects the trade would have on the lineups. Calhoun is consistently a 6-8 hole hitter, usually following Pujols and Andrelton Simmons and preceeding the weakest IF hitter in the lineup. Chuck plays leadoff. If they swapped, Calhoun would probably remain around 5-7 for the Rockies, giving a new order of :
  1. McMahon
  2. Story
  3. Dahl
  4. Arenado
  5. Murphy
  6. Tapia/Desmond
  7. Calhoun/Desmond
  8. Catcher
  9. Pitcher
This seems fairly plausible and effective to me, but I’d love to hear your thoughts on it. For the Angels, they would most likely shift to:
  1. Blackmon
  2. Trout
  3. DH Ohtani/Upton
  4. Simmons
  5. Pujols
  6. Upton/Goodwin
  7. Fletcher
  8. Catcher spot
  9. Cozart
1-5 probably won’t change, but honestly until the Angels fix their god awful infield their lineup will be a mess (107 different lineups this year in 115 games, not good).
Scenario 4, the Angels keep Calhoun’s current deal and trade him for Charlie. After 2019 Blackmon has two more years at $21M, plus 2022-23 player options for a combined $31M. So a straight up trade would be out of the question. Calhoun is already costly for the Angels, and with Adell on the rise and lots of money tied up in Upton, Trout, and Pujols they can’t afford to spend more. They need to save money. In all honesty, this trade seems like a terrible option for the Halos. The only reason they would bite is because Chuck’s bat might get them over the hump and make them perennial Wild Card contenders. Especially since they could also throw him in the DH role if needed and use a different outfielder with better hands, Blackmon wouldn’t be a terrible option for them if it means making a serious go for a ring. But like I said, he’s too pricey. If the Rockies offer to pay $7M of his salary the next two years (making him cost the same as Calhoun) I think they’d go for it. We’d take Calhoun for his remaining year at $14M, plus the $7M leftover from Blackmon for a total of $21M, the same we’re supposed to spend anyway. But, our defense gets better, younger, and hopefully allows less runs, something our own rotation would be thankful for. However, this would only be for a year and then we’d be in the same predicament the Angels are now. But, in 2021 we’d have $14M more than we do currently.
In return, the Angels add a power bat to the dugout for absolutely no extra cost. It doesn’t save them money for their own pitching corps but another winter for their “regular” starters to heal might be enough. Overall I think both teams improve. This deal could also include trading some draft picks or prospects but I don’t want to get too deep in the weeds here.
TL;DR: Chuck for LAA right-fielder Kole Calhoun (1y contract), absorbing $7M of Chuck’s contract for the next two years. Deal or no deal?
submitted by throwaway469531 to ColoradoRockies [link] [comments]

Sensex rallies over 100 points led by gains in auto, banking stocks

Sensex rallies over 100 points led by gains in auto, banking stocks
Bharti Airtel gained 1% after the company’s losses narrowed on quarter.
Investors await the next bi-monthly policy statement, due on 6 February.

https://preview.redd.it/7zy4vwzyy1f41.jpg?width=620&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=eeb8ee361cae02f95ee0709ce447111d759d1142
Indian equity markets on Wednesday had opened little changed but soon rose nearly 0.4% led by gains in auto and banking stocks.
At 9.40am, the benchmark Sensex was up 0.4% or 174.50 points to 40963.88, while Nifty gained 0.41% or 49.5 points to 12029.10.
Most auto stocks gained at open, buoyed by the monthly sales data, which was in line with expectations. Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, M&M, Apollo Tyres, Bajaj Auto gained 1-4%. TVS Motors gained 5%.
Among banking stocks, Axis Bank, Federal Bank, RBL Bank, Indusind Bank, SBI, HDFC Bank, Kotak rose 0.4-1.22%.
Index heavyweight Bharti Airtel gained 1% after the company reported narrowing of its losses quarter-on-quarter. For October-December, the telecom major reported a loss of ₹1,035 crore, less than the ₹23,145.60 crore loss posted in the September quarter.
Investors now await the next bi-monthly policy statement, due on 6 February, with the market keenly eyeing commentary on inflation and growth forecast. The RBI is widely expected to stand pat on rates, with the repo rate unchanged at 5.15% due to inflation trending higher, a Mint survey has found.
On Tuesday, the market had surged nearly 900 points largely because of fall in crude oil prices and improvement in manufacturing PMI data.
“We believe the budget has been a non-event and belied the lofty expectations. The government, however, has tried to balance growth concerns and fiscal prudence while providing relief to several segments e.g. tax relief for the middle-class and abolition of DDT. We believe the market’s focus should now revert to fundamentals, viz. corporate earnings growth and global cues around the spread of Coronavirus”, said Motilal Oswal Research in a report to its investors.
The Indian rupee had opened marginally higher at 71.21 against the US dollar, up from its previous close of 71.27. The 10-year bond yield was marginally up at 6.516% compared with its previous close of 6.505%.
Asian stocks were steady with positive bias, while overnight, the Nasdaq hit a record high and the S&P 500 had its best day in six months as fears of a significant economic impact from the coronavirus epidemic tapered off after China’s central bank intervened for the second straight day.
China injected 1.7 trillion yuan ($242.74 billion) via reverse repo on Monday and Tuesday, helping Chinese stocks recover some losses and lifting the world equity index .
The stimulus boosted investor sentiment even as several economists cut forecasts for 2020 global growth as the fast-spreading virus hampers business operations in the world’s second-largest economy.
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What is Margin Trading?  Fidelity - YouTube Tutorial: How to Margin Trade on Binance 👨‍🏫 - YouTube Margin Trading  Trading Terms - YouTube RBI का बड़ा ऐलान / मालामाल हो जाओगे / Payal Agarwal / RBI Policy Update RBI MONETARY POLICY - Qualitative Tools

It is an alert given to the investors when their margin account goes low on funds because of losses. It requires additional capital to maintain the minimum balance in the margin account and further proceed with the trading. Margin funding is certainly a blessing is a disguise for investors who are keen to diversify their investment potentials. Margin Trading Example Suppose, you are interested in buying shares of the Company ABC worth Rs 2,00,000, then the margin amount that you may have to pay will be around 75,000. It is to be noted that the margin amount required to be paid may differ from broker to broker. Margin Trading: In the stock market, margin trading refers to the process whereby individual investors buy more stocks than they can afford to. Margin trading also refers to intraday trading in India and various stock brokers provide this service. Margin trading involves buying and selling of securities in one single session. Over time, ... Advantages . The advantage of trading on margin is that you can make a high percentage of gains compared to your account balance. For instance, let's assume that you have a $1000 account balance and you are not trading on margin. You initiate a $1000 trade that nets you 100 pips.In a $1000 trade, each pip is worth 10 cents. The new margin norms, which kick in from August 1, 2020, are causing some apprehensions in the trading community. There could be initial technical issues because the brokers claim that they need software upgrades to implement. However, initial glitches apart, there could be a volume crunch that ...

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What is Margin Trading? Fidelity - YouTube

stock market india, SEBI, sebi india, sebi new margin rules 2020, sebi margin, sebi margin rules, sebi margin update, sebi margin trading, sebi margin rules postponed, sebi margin circular, sebi ... Have you always wondered what it means to trade on margin? In this video, you’ll learn what margin trading is and if it is a strategy that could help you ach... To Learn Trading – ... Sebi New Margin Rules ,In Details ... अगर SHARE MARKET में पैसा लगा है तो RBI गवर्नर का बयान नींद ... RBI MONETARY POLICY RBI Qualitative Tools Credit control to consumers Margin requirements Loan to value ratio Rationing of credit Moral Suasion Direct Action Prompt corrective action plan. What is margin trading? What is a margin? What is the difference between a cash account and a margin account? In episode #34 of Real World Finance we dive de...

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